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Eyüpspor vs Gaziantep FK Prediction— Turkey - Süper Lig

Matchday 2 ·Sunday, August 23, 2026, 16:00

Eyüpspor

PPG 1.25 · HOME

LAST 5

LLW ··

0 – 1

FULL TIME

Gaziantep FK

PPG 1.17 · AWAY

LAST 5

DWL ··

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-08.6%0-19.4%0-25.2%0-31.9%0-4+0.7%1 1-011.7%1-112.8%1-27.0%1-32.6%1-4+0.9%2 2-07.9%2-18.7%2-24.8%2-31.7%2-4+0.6%3 3-03.6%3-13.9%3-22.2%3-30.8%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-01.6%4+-11.8%4+-21.0%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 38.5% 37.0% 2.70 +4.0%

Draw 32.7% 31.3% 3.20 +4.6%

Away win 28.8% 41.7% 2.40 -18.5%

Over 2.5 44.8% 52.6% 1.90 -14.9%

Over 3.5 28.0% 30.8% 3.25 -5.4%

BTTS 49.1% 59.9% 1.67 -18.0%

Home O1.5 37.8% 40.0% 2.50 -5.5%

Away O1.5 35.6% 44.4% 2.25 -19.9%

League track record ↗

Based on 54 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 43%

O2.5 67%

BTTS 63%

Score Hit 41%

ROI 20.3%

Bet Hit 67%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 31%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-1

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob49.1%

D 33% / xG 1.4-1.1 / O2.5 45% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.8%

#2 0–0 8.6%

#3 1–0 11.7%

#4 2–1 8.7%

#5 0–1✓ 9.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Eyüpspor1.4

Gaziantep FK1.1

COMBINED 2.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 44.8% · O3.5 PROB 28.0%

Form & verdict PPG

EYÜPSPOR · PPG 1.25

GAZIANTEP FK · PPG 1.17

⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear value

65%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.26, combined xG 2.45 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Eyüpspor (H) 38.5%

ODDS 2.70 · IMPLIED 37.0% EV +4.0%

Draw 32.7%

ODDS 3.20 · IMPLIED 31.3% EV +4.6%

Gaziantep FK (A) 28.8%

ODDS 2.40 · IMPLIED 41.7% EV -18.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

Eyüpspor face Gaziantep FK in Turkey - Süper Lig on Sunday, August 23, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Eyüpspor a 39% chance, the draw 33% and Gaziantep FK 29%, so Eyüpspor are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Eyüpspor and 1.1 for Gaziantep FK (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 45% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Eyüpspor are averaging 1.25 points per game versus 1.17 for Gaziantep FK. The best value bet our model finds is H/O25, with an expected value of +7.8%. This match finished 0-1.

Eyüpspor vs Gaziantep FK Prediction— Turkey - Süper Lig

Match Preview & Prediction

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