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Minas vs Sport Huancayo 2 Prediction— Peru - Segunda División

Matchday 16 ·Sunday, August 30, 2026, 15:45

Minas

PPG 1.50 · HOME

LAST 5

WWWDW

2 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME

Sport Huancayo 2

PPG 0.67 · AWAY

LAST 5

WLWLW

// Model verdict

Home 64% chance

xG gap +1.27 - moderate Home edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-010.2%0-15.2%0-21.3%0-30.2%0-4+0.0%1 1-018.2%1-19.2%1-22.3%1-30.4%1-4+0.1%2 2-016.1%2-18.1%2-22.1%2-30.3%2-4+0.0%3 3-09.5%3-14.8%3-21.2%3-30.2%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-06.3%4+-13.2%4+-20.8%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 63.9% — — —

Draw 21.1% — — —

Away win 14.9% — — —

Over 2.5 50.5% — — —

Over 3.5 28.7% — — —

BTTS 47.2% — — —

Home O1.5 48.9% — — —

Away O1.5 15.1% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 45 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 64%

O2.5 62%

BTTS 64%

Score Hit 53%

ROI -28.2%

Bet Hit 40%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 18.2%

#2 2–0 16.1%

#3 0–0 10.2%

#4 1–1 9.2%

#5 3–0 9.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Minas1.8

Sport Huancayo 20.5

COMBINED 2.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.5% · O3.5 PROB 28.7%

Form & verdict PPG

MINAS · PPG 1.50

SPORT HUANCAYO 2 · PPG 0.67

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

Chance this pick lands

64%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +1.27 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Minas (H) 63.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 21.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Sport Huancayo 2 (A) 14.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Minas face Sport Huancayo 2 in Peru - Segunda División on Sunday, August 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Minas a 64% chance, the draw 21% and Sport Huancayo 2 15%, so Minas are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Minas and 0.5 for Sport Huancayo 2 (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 47% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Minas are averaging 1.50 points per game versus 0.67 for Sport Huancayo 2. This match finished 2-1.

Minas vs Sport Huancayo 2 Prediction— Peru - Segunda División

Match Preview & Prediction

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