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Jeunesse Sportive Omrane vs ES Tunis Prediction— Tunisia - Ligue 1

Matchday 2 ·Sunday, August 30, 2026, 15:30

Jeunesse Sportive Omrane

PPG 1.70 · HOME

LAST 5

LW ···

3 – 1

FULL TIME

ES Tunis

PPG 1.70 · AWAY

LAST 5

WL ···

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-015.8%0-113.8%0-26.0%0-31.8%0-4+0.5%1 1-015.4%1-113.4%1-25.9%1-31.7%1-4+0.4%2 2-07.5%2-16.5%2-22.8%2-30.8%2-4+0.2%3 3-02.4%3-12.1%3-20.9%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.7%4+-10.6%4+-20.3%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 35.9% 11.4% 8.80 +215.9%

Draw 32.3% 26.0% 3.85 +24.4%

Away win 31.7% 73.5% 1.36 -56.9%

Over 2.5 35.9% 46.5% 2.15 -22.8%

Over 3.5 18.0% 25.6% 3.90 -17.9%

BTTS 43.7% 41.7% 2.40 +4.9%

Home O1.5 30.9% 12.2% 8.20 +153.4%

Away O1.5 25.2% 59.9% 1.67 -34.8%

League track record ↗

Based on 10 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 70%

O2.5 40%

BTTS 30%

Score Hit 40%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 53%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-1

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob43.7%

D 32% / xG 1.0-0.9 / U2.5 36% / NoBTTS 44%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 15.8%

#2 1–0 15.4%

#3 1–1 13.4%

#4 0–1 13.8%

#5 2–0 7.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Jeunesse Sportive Omrane1.0

ES Tunis0.9

COMBINED 1.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 35.9% · O3.5 PROB 18.0%

Form & verdict PPG

JEUNESSE SPORTIVE OMRANE · PPG 1.70

ES TUNIS · PPG 1.70

⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected

65%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.10, combined xG 1.85 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Jeunesse Sportive Omrane (H) 35.9%

ODDS 8.80 · IMPLIED 11.4% EV +215.9%

Draw 32.3%

ODDS 3.85 · IMPLIED 26.0% EV +24.4%

ES Tunis (A) 31.7%

ODDS 1.36 · IMPLIED 73.5% EV -56.9%

Match Preview & Prediction

Jeunesse Sportive Omrane face ES Tunis in Tunisia - Ligue 1 on Sunday, August 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Jeunesse Sportive Omrane a 36% chance, the draw 32% and ES Tunis 32%, so Jeunesse Sportive Omrane are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Jeunesse Sportive Omrane and 0.9 for ES Tunis (1.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 36% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 44% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Jeunesse Sportive Omrane are averaging 1.70 points per game versus 1.70 for ES Tunis. The best value bet our model finds is RES_H/O15, with an expected value of +156.2%. This match finished 3-1.

Jeunesse Sportive Omrane vs ES Tunis Prediction— Tunisia - Ligue 1

Match Preview & Prediction

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