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Kiffen vs HPS Prediction— Finland - Kakkonen - Lohko A

Group A ·Sunday, August 30, 2026, 15:00

Kiffen

PPG 2.44 · HOME

LAST 5

WWWWL

2 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME O1.5

HPS

PPG 1.56 · AWAY

LAST 5

DLLLD

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5 77% chance

xG gap +1.83 for Home, form 2.44 vs 1.56 - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.8%0-11.2%0-20.9%0-30.5%0-4+0.2%1 1-02.6%1-13.9%1-23.0%1-31.5%1-4+0.8%2 2-04.3%2-16.6%2-25.0%2-32.5%2-4+1.3%3 3-04.8%3-17.3%3-25.6%3-32.8%3-4+1.5%4+ 4+-09.4%4+-114.3%4+-210.9%4+-35.5%4+-4+2.9%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 68.2% — — —

Draw 15.7% — — —

Away win 16.1% — — —

Over 2.5 76.6% — — —

Over 3.5 56.2% — — —

BTTS 63.1% — — —

Home O1.5 77.3% — — —

Away O1.5 46.6% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 48 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 52%

O2.5 73%

BTTS 79%

Score Hit 44%

ROI 31.8%

Bet Hit 83%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 3–1 7.3%

#2 2–1✓ 6.6%

#3 4–1 6.1%

#4 2–2 5.0%

#5 3–2 5.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Kiffen3.3

HPS1.5

COMBINED 4.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 76.6% · O3.5 PROB 56.2%

Form & verdict PPG

KIFFEN · PPG 2.44

HPS · PPG 1.56

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

Chance this pick lands

77%

STRONG_HOME

xG gap +1.83 for Home, form 2.44 vs 1.56 - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Kiffen (H) 68.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 15.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

HPS (A) 16.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Kiffen face HPS in Finland - Kakkonen - Lohko A on Sunday, August 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Kiffen a 68% chance, the draw 16% and HPS 16%, so Kiffen are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.3 for Kiffen and 1.5 for HPS (4.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-1. There is a 77% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Kiffen are averaging 2.44 points per game versus 1.56 for HPS. This match finished 2-1.

Kiffen vs HPS Prediction— Finland - Kakkonen - Lohko A

Match Preview & Prediction

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