AFC Wimbledon vs Stockport Prediction— England - League One

England - League One Wednesday, April 15, 2026 —

AFC Wimbledon PPG 1.40

0-2 MISS

Stockport PPG 1.35

Home· +50.9% ✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

70% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

AFC Wimbledon face Stockport in England - League One on Wednesday, April 15, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives AFC Wimbledon a 39% chance, the draw 24% and Stockport 38%, so AFC Wimbledon are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for AFC Wimbledon and 1.5 for Stockport (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, AFC Wimbledon are averaging 1.40 points per game versus 1.35 for Stockport. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +50.9%. This match finished 0-2.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 38.7%

Odds: 3.90 EV: +50.9%

Draw 23.8%

Odds: 3.50 EV: -16.7%

Away 37.5%

Odds: 1.90 EV: -28.7%

Model lean: BTTS

Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 60.3% Odds: 1.83 +10.3%

Over 3.5 37.9% Odds: 3.10 +17.5%

BTTS 62.4% Odds: 1.67 +4.2%

O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 2-1 ✘

3rd 1-2 ✘

4th 1-0 ✘

5th 0-1 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

AFC Wimbledon

1.57

Stockport

1.55

Model SuggestionBTTS +4.2% ROI TRACKS: BTTS
Tracked ROI market: BTTS. 
Raw EV leader: Home(+50.9%)

League Track Record ↗

Based on 51 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 35%

O2.5/Under 51%

BTTS/No 53%

Score Hit 37%

ROI -55.8%

Bet Hit 26% (23 bets)

Verdict & Form

✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

70%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.40), Away AVERAGE (1.35)