Today / Slovakia - Super Liga / Slovan Bratislava vs Zemplín Michalovce

Slovan Bratislava vs Zemplín Michalovce Prediction— Slovakia - Super Liga

Matchday 6 ·Sunday, August 30, 2026, 15:00

Slovan Bratislava

PPG 2.13 · HOME

LAST 5

WWWWL

1 – 2

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · HOME

Zemplín Michalovce

PPG 0.98 · AWAY

LAST 5

LDLWW

// Model verdict

Home

Model probability 65.2% vs bookmaker-implied 74.1%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.9%0-13.8%0-21.5%0-30.4%0-4+0.1%1 1-011.0%1-18.5%1-23.3%1-30.8%1-4+0.2%2 2-012.3%2-19.5%2-23.7%2-31.0%2-4+0.2%3 3-09.2%3-17.1%3-22.8%3-30.7%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-08.7%4+-16.8%4+-22.6%4+-30.7%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 65.2% 74.1% 1.35 -12.0%

Draw 19.5% 22.2% 4.50 -7.3%

Away win 15.4% 14.3% 7.00 +4.7%

Over 2.5 59.7% 69.4% 1.44 -14.0%

Over 3.5 36.7% 50.0% 2.00 -26.6%

BTTS 52.7% 61.7% 1.62 -14.6%

Home O1.5 65.8% 75.2% 1.33 -12.5%

Away O1.5 22.8% 25.0% 4.00 -5.3%

League track record ↗

Based on 49 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 59%

O2.5 69%

BTTS 61%

Score Hit 35%

ROI 32.6%

Bet Hit 79%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 56%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-2

xG (home)2.2 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob52.7%

H 65% / xG 2.2-0.8 / O2.5 60% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 12.3%

#2 1–1 8.5%

#3 1–0 11.0%

#4 2–1 9.5%

#5 3–0 9.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Slovan Bratislava2.2

Zemplín Michalovce0.8

COMBINED 3.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.7% · O3.5 PROB 36.7%

Form & verdict PPG

SLOVAN BRATISLAVA · PPG 2.13

ZEMPLÍN MICHALOVCE · PPG 0.98

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

75%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +1.47 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Slovan Bratislava (H) 65.2%

ODDS 1.35 · IMPLIED 74.1% EV -12.0%

Draw 19.5%

ODDS 4.50 · IMPLIED 22.2% EV -7.3%

Zemplín Michalovce (A) 15.4%

ODDS 7.00 · IMPLIED 14.3% EV +4.7%

Match Preview & Prediction

Slovan Bratislava face Zemplín Michalovce in Slovakia - Super Liga on Sunday, August 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Slovan Bratislava a 65% chance, the draw 20% and Zemplín Michalovce 15%, so Slovan Bratislava are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.2 for Slovan Bratislava and 0.8 for Zemplín Michalovce (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Slovan Bratislava are averaging 2.13 points per game versus 0.98 for Zemplín Michalovce. The best value bet our model finds is A/BTTS, with an expected value of +5.5%. This match finished 1-2.

Slovan Bratislava vs Zemplín Michalovce Prediction— Slovakia - Super Liga

Match Preview & Prediction

More Slovakia - Super Liga Predictions