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Skalica vs Dunajska Streda Prediction— Slovakia - Super Liga

Matchday 6 ·Sunday, August 30, 2026, 15:00

Skalica

PPG 1.59 · HOME

LAST 5

WWLLL

1 – 6

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · AWAY

Dunajska Streda

PPG 1.67 · AWAY

LAST 5

DWWWW

// Model verdict

Away

Model probability 50.2% vs bookmaker-implied 57.1%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.8%0-19.7%0-28.0%0-34.4%0-4+2.6%1 1-06.9%1-111.5%1-29.5%1-35.2%1-4+3.1%2 2-04.1%2-16.8%2-25.6%2-33.1%2-4+1.9%3 3-01.6%3-12.7%3-22.2%3-31.2%3-4+0.7%4+ 4+-00.6%4+-11.0%4+-20.9%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 27.0% 25.0% 4.00 +4.8%

Draw 22.8% 29.4% 3.40 -13.5%

Away win 50.2% 57.1% 1.75 -12.2%

Over 2.5 59.7% 54.1% 1.85 +10.4%

Over 3.5 36.7% 33.3% 3.00 +10.1%

BTTS 55.0% 57.1% 1.75 -3.8%

Home O1.5 32.1% 29.4% 3.40 +9.1%

Away O1.5 47.9% 54.6% 1.83 -12.3%

League track record ↗

Based on 49 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 59%

O2.5 69%

BTTS 61%

Score Hit 35%

ROI 32.6%

Bet Hit 79%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 45%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-6

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)1.7 BTTS prob55.0%

A 50% / xG 1.2-1.7 / O2.5 60% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.5%

#2 1–2 9.5%

#3 0–2 8.0%

#4 0–1 9.7%

#5 2–1 6.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Skalica1.2

Dunajska Streda1.7

COMBINED 2.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.7% · O3.5 PROB 36.7%

Form & verdict PPG

SKALICA · PPG 1.59

DUNAJSKA STREDA · PPG 1.67

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

60%

BALANCED

xG gap -0.47 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Skalica (H) 27.0%

ODDS 4.00 · IMPLIED 25.0% EV +4.8%

Draw 22.8%

ODDS 3.40 · IMPLIED 29.4% EV -13.5%

Dunajska Streda (A) 50.2%

ODDS 1.75 · IMPLIED 57.1% EV -12.2%

Match Preview & Prediction

Skalica face Dunajska Streda in Slovakia - Super Liga on Sunday, August 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Skalica a 27% chance, the draw 23% and Dunajska Streda 50%, so Dunajska Streda are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Skalica and 1.7 for Dunajska Streda (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Skalica are averaging 1.59 points per game versus 1.67 for Dunajska Streda. The best value bet our model finds is H/BTTS, with an expected value of +33.1%. This match finished 1-6.

Skalica vs Dunajska Streda Prediction— Slovakia - Super Liga

Match Preview & Prediction

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