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Dunajska Streda vs Podbrezová Prediction— Slovakia - Super Liga

Matchday 5 ·Saturday, August 22, 2026, 16:00

Dunajska Streda

PPG 2.05 · HOME

LAST 5

DWWWW

5 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Podbrezová

PPG 1.38 · AWAY

LAST 5

LWWLD

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 54.7% vs bookmaker-implied 67.6%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.8%0-15.9%0-23.0%0-31.0%0-4+0.3%1 1-010.6%1-110.8%1-25.5%1-31.9%1-4+0.6%2 2-09.7%2-19.9%2-25.0%2-31.7%2-4+0.5%3 3-05.9%3-16.0%3-23.1%3-31.0%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-04.1%4+-14.2%4+-22.1%4+-30.7%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 53.0% 58.1% 1.72 -8.8%

Draw 23.3% 26.0% 3.85 -6.2%

Away win 23.7% 25.0% 4.00 -3.1%

Over 2.5 58.5% 65.4% 1.53 -10.5%

Over 3.5 35.6% 43.5% 2.30 -18.1%

BTTS 54.7% 67.6% 1.48 -19.0%

Home O1.5 52.6% 62.5% 1.60 -15.8%

Away O1.5 32.3% 38.2% 2.62 -15.4%

League track record ↗

Based on 49 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 59%

O2.5 69%

BTTS 61%

Score Hit 35%

ROI 32.6%

Bet Hit 79%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 45%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 5-0

xG (home)1.8 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob54.7%

H 53% / xG 1.8-1.0 / O2.5 58% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.8%

#2 2–1 9.9%

#3 2–0 9.7%

#4 1–0 10.6%

#5 1–2 5.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Dunajska Streda1.8

Podbrezová1.0

COMBINED 2.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 58.5% · O3.5 PROB 35.6%

Form & verdict PPG

DUNAJSKA STREDA · PPG 2.05

PODBREZOVÁ · PPG 1.38

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.81 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Dunajska Streda (H) 53.0%

ODDS 1.72 · IMPLIED 58.1% EV -8.8%

Draw 23.3%

ODDS 3.85 · IMPLIED 26.0% EV -6.2%

Podbrezová (A) 23.7%

ODDS 4.00 · IMPLIED 25.0% EV -3.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

Dunajska Streda face Podbrezová in Slovakia - Super Liga on Saturday, August 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Dunajska Streda a 53% chance, the draw 23% and Podbrezová 24%, so Dunajska Streda are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Dunajska Streda and 1.0 for Podbrezová (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Dunajska Streda are averaging 2.05 points per game versus 1.38 for Podbrezová. This match finished 5-0.

Dunajska Streda vs Podbrezová Prediction— Slovakia - Super Liga

Match Preview & Prediction

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