Today / Slovakia - Super Liga / Zemplín Michalovce vs Skalica

Zemplín Michalovce vs Skalica Prediction— Slovakia - Super Liga

Matchday 5 ·Saturday, August 22, 2026, 16:00

Zemplín Michalovce

PPG 1.19 · HOME

LAST 5

LDLWW

2 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Skalica

PPG 1.18 · AWAY

LAST 5

WWLLL

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 54.7% vs bookmaker-implied 62.5%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-08.2%0-110.7%0-27.0%0-33.1%0-4+1.3%1 1-09.8%1-112.8%1-28.4%1-33.6%1-4+1.6%2 2-05.8%2-17.6%2-25.0%2-32.2%2-4+0.9%3 3-02.3%3-13.0%3-22.0%3-30.9%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-00.9%4+-11.2%4+-20.8%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 34.5% 49.5% 2.02 -30.3%

Draw 26.1% 29.9% 3.35 -7.5%

Away win 39.3% 29.9% 3.35 +31.7%

Over 2.5 52.3% 56.5% 1.77 -7.4%

Over 3.5 30.9% 34.5% 2.90 -10.4%

BTTS 54.7% 62.5% 1.60 -12.5%

Home O1.5 32.4% 51.3% 1.95 -36.8%

Away O1.5 39.7% 37.0% 2.70 +7.2%

League track record ↗

Based on 49 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 59%

O2.5 69%

BTTS 61%

Score Hit 35%

ROI 32.6%

Bet Hit 79%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 23%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-0

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob54.7%

A 39% / xG 1.2-1.3 / O2.5 52% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.8%

#2 0–1 10.7%

#3 1–2 8.4%

#4 0–0 8.2%

#5 1–0 9.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Zemplín Michalovce1.2

Skalica1.3

COMBINED 2.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 52.3% · O3.5 PROB 30.9%

Form & verdict PPG

ZEMPLÍN MICHALOVCE · PPG 1.19

SKALICA · PPG 1.18

✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

70%

BALANCED

xG gap -0.11 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Zemplín Michalovce (H) 34.5%

ODDS 2.02 · IMPLIED 49.5% EV -30.3%

Draw 26.1%

ODDS 3.35 · IMPLIED 29.9% EV -7.5%

Skalica (A) 39.3%

ODDS 3.35 · IMPLIED 29.9% EV +31.7%

Match Preview & Prediction

Zemplín Michalovce face Skalica in Slovakia - Super Liga on Saturday, August 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Zemplín Michalovce a 35% chance, the draw 26% and Skalica 39%, so Skalica are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Zemplín Michalovce and 1.3 for Skalica (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Zemplín Michalovce are averaging 1.19 points per game versus 1.18 for Skalica. The best value bet our model finds is A/O25, with an expected value of +14.4%. This match finished 2-0.

Zemplín Michalovce vs Skalica Prediction— Slovakia - Super Liga

Match Preview & Prediction

More Slovakia - Super Liga Predictions