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FK Košice vs Slovan Bratislava Prediction— Slovakia - Super Liga

Matchday 5 ·Saturday, August 22, 2026, 18:30

FK Košice

PPG 1.58 · HOME

LAST 5

DDWLD

1 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Slovan Bratislava

PPG 2.19 · AWAY

LAST 5

WWWWL

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.1 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 71.8% vs bookmaker-implied 66.7% — a real, if thin, edge.

+7.7% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.6%0-14.3%0-25.6%0-34.9%0-4+6.1%1 1-02.4%1-16.4%1-28.4%1-37.3%1-4+9.1%2 2-01.8%2-14.7%2-26.2%2-35.5%2-4+6.8%3 3-00.9%3-12.4%3-23.1%3-32.7%3-4+3.4%4+ 4+-00.5%4+-11.2%4+-21.6%4+-31.4%4+-4+1.7%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 23.8% 29.9% 3.35 -12.2%

Draw 19.4% 27.8% 3.60 -18.1%

Away win 56.8% 51.5% 1.94 +10.2%

Over 2.5 71.8% 66.7% 1.50 +7.7%

Over 3.5 49.7% 44.4% 2.25 +11.8%

BTTS 64.4% 70.4% 1.42 -8.6%

Home O1.5 40.0% 44.4% 2.25 -10.0%

Away O1.5 65.4% 59.9% 1.67 +9.2%

League track record ↗

Based on 49 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 59%

O2.5 69%

BTTS 61%

Score Hit 35%

ROI 32.6%

Bet Hit 79%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 3 60%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-2

xG (home)1.5 xG (away)2.6 BTTS prob64.4%

A 57% / xG 1.5-2.6 / O2.5 72% / BTTS 64%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–2✓ 8.4%

#2 1–1 6.4%

#3 1–3 7.3%

#4 2–2 6.2%

#5 2–1 4.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

FK Košice1.5

Slovan Bratislava2.6

COMBINED 4.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 71.8% · O3.5 PROB 49.7%

Form & verdict PPG

FK KOŠICE · PPG 1.58

SLOVAN BRATISLAVA · PPG 2.19

⚠ CAUTION - Home form weak, consider away

65%

DANGER

xG gap -1.14 - moderate Away edge

Win probability 1X2

FK Košice (H) 23.8%

ODDS 3.35 · IMPLIED 29.9% EV -12.2%

Draw 19.4%

ODDS 3.60 · IMPLIED 27.8% EV -18.1%

Slovan Bratislava (A) 56.8%

ODDS 1.94 · IMPLIED 51.5% EV +10.2%

Match Preview & Prediction

FK Košice face Slovan Bratislava in Slovakia - Super Liga on Saturday, August 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives FK Košice a 24% chance, the draw 19% and Slovan Bratislava 57%, so Slovan Bratislava are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for FK Košice and 2.6 for Slovan Bratislava (4.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-2. There is a 72% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 64% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, FK Košice are averaging 1.58 points per game versus 2.19 for Slovan Bratislava. The best value bet our model finds is A/BTTS, with an expected value of +33.4%. This match finished 1-2.

FK Košice vs Slovan Bratislava Prediction— Slovakia - Super Liga

Match Preview & Prediction

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