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TOŠK Tešanj vs GOŠK Gabela Prediction— Bosnia - 1st League - FBiH

FBiH · Matchday 3 ·Sunday, August 30, 2026, 14:30

TOŠK Tešanj

PPG 1.94 · HOME

LAST 5

WLL ··

0 – 1

FULL TIME

GOŠK Gabela

PPG 1.65 · AWAY

LAST 5

WW ···

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-011.0%0-110.2%0-24.7%0-31.4%0-4+0.4%1 1-014.1%1-113.1%1-26.0%1-31.9%1-4+0.5%2 2-09.0%2-18.4%2-23.9%2-31.2%2-4+0.3%3 3-03.9%3-13.6%3-21.6%3-30.5%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-01.6%4+-11.5%4+-20.7%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 40.8% — — —

Draw 28.8% — — —

Away win 30.4% — — —

Over 2.5 43.1% — — —

Over 3.5 20.7% — — —

BTTS 47.2% — — —

Home O1.5 37.2% — — —

Away O1.5 25.7% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 58 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 47%

O2.5 40%

BTTS 41%

Score Hit 33%

ROI -72.0%

Bet Hit 20%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.1%

#2 1–0 14.1%

#3 0–0 11.0%

#4 0–1✓ 10.2%

#5 2–0 9.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

TOŠK Tešanj1.3

GOŠK Gabela0.9

COMBINED 2.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 43.1% · O3.5 PROB 20.7%

Form & verdict PPG

TOŠK TEŠANJ · PPG 1.94

GOŠK GABELA · PPG 1.65

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...

45%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.36, combined xG 2.20 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

TOŠK Tešanj (H) 40.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 28.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

GOŠK Gabela (A) 30.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

TOŠK Tešanj face GOŠK Gabela in Bosnia - 1st League - FBiH on Sunday, August 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives TOŠK Tešanj a 41% chance, the draw 29% and GOŠK Gabela 30%, so TOŠK Tešanj are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for TOŠK Tešanj and 0.9 for GOŠK Gabela (2.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 43% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 47% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, TOŠK Tešanj are averaging 1.94 points per game versus 1.65 for GOŠK Gabela. This match finished 0-1.

TOŠK Tešanj vs GOŠK Gabela Prediction— Bosnia - 1st League - FBiH

Match Preview & Prediction

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