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Budućnost Banovići vs Sloboda Tuzla Prediction— Bosnia - 1st League - FBiH

FBiH · Matchday 3 ·Sunday, August 30, 2026, 14:30

Budućnost Banovići logo
Budućnost Banovići
PPG 1.40 · HOME
LAST 5
DW ···
3 – 2
FULL TIME
Sloboda Tuzla logo
Sloboda Tuzla
PPG 1.23 · AWAY
LAST 5
DL ···

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-011.0%0-19.6%0-24.2%0-31.2%0-4+0.3%1 1-014.7%1-112.8%1-25.6%1-31.6%1-4+0.4%2 2-09.8%2-18.6%2-23.7%2-31.1%2-4+0.3%3 3-04.4%3-13.8%3-21.7%3-30.5%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-02.0%4+-11.7%4+-20.7%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 43.3%
Draw 33.2%
Away win 23.5%
Over 2.5 43.1%
Over 3.5 20.7%
BTTS 47.2%
Home O1.5 37.6%
Away O1.5 25.3%

League track record

Based on 58 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 47%
O2.5 40%
BTTS 41%
Score Hit 33%
ROI -72.0%
Bet Hit 20%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.8%
#2 0–0 11.0%
#3 1–0 14.7%
#4 2–0 9.8%
#5 2–1 8.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Budućnost Banovići1.3
Sloboda Tuzla0.9

COMBINED 2.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 43.1% · O3.5 PROB 20.7%

Form & verdict PPG

BUDUĆNOST BANOVIĆI · PPG 1.40

SLOBODA TUZLA · PPG 1.23

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...
45%
HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.46, combined xG 2.21 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Budućnost Banovići (H) 43.3%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 33.2%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Sloboda Tuzla (A) 23.5%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Budućnost Banovići face Sloboda Tuzla in Bosnia - 1st League - FBiH on Sunday, August 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Budućnost Banovići a 43% chance, the draw 33% and Sloboda Tuzla 24%, so Budućnost Banovići are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Budućnost Banovići and 0.9 for Sloboda Tuzla (2.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 43% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 47% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Budućnost Banovići are averaging 1.40 points per game versus 1.23 for Sloboda Tuzla. This match finished 3-2.

PredictVantage

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