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Landvetter IS vs Åstorp Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Västra Götaland

Västra Götaland · Matchday 19 ·Sunday, August 30, 2026, 14:00

Landvetter IS logo
Landvetter IS
PPG 2.67 · HOME
LAST 5
WDWLW
2 – 1
FULL TIME
✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME
Åstorp logo
Åstorp
PPG 1.22 · AWAY
LAST 5
LLWWL

// Model verdict

Home

xG gap +1.38 - moderate Home edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.4%0-14.5%0-21.4%0-30.3%0-4+0.0%1 1-014.7%1-19.0%1-22.8%1-30.6%1-4+0.1%2 2-014.7%2-19.0%2-22.7%2-30.6%2-4+0.1%3 3-09.8%3-16.0%3-21.8%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-07.7%4+-14.7%4+-21.4%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 58.1%
Draw 22.6%
Away win 19.3%
Over 2.5 50.5%
Over 3.5 29.6%
BTTS 47.2%
Home O1.5 56.3%
Away O1.5 16.7%

League track record

Based on 65 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 51%
O2.5 69%
BTTS 66%
Score Hit 46%
ROI 47.0%
Bet Hit 83%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 14.7%
#2 1–0 14.7%
#3 1–1 9.0%
#4 0–0 7.4%
#5 3–0 9.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Landvetter IS2.0
Åstorp0.6

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.5% · O3.5 PROB 29.6%

Form & verdict PPG

LANDVETTER IS · PPG 2.67

ÅSTORP · PPG 1.22

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52%
MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +1.38 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Landvetter IS (H) 58.1%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 22.6%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Åstorp (A) 19.3%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Landvetter IS face Åstorp in Sweden - Division 2 - Västra Götaland on Sunday, August 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Landvetter IS a 58% chance, the draw 23% and Åstorp 19%, so Landvetter IS are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.0 for Landvetter IS and 0.6 for Åstorp (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 47% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Landvetter IS are averaging 2.67 points per game versus 1.22 for Åstorp. This match finished 2-1.

PredictVantage

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