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Jonsered vs Astrio Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Västra Götaland

Västra Götaland · Matchday 19 ·Sunday, August 30, 2026, 11:00

Jonsered

PPG 2.00 · HOME

LAST 5

WDWDW

4 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME

Astrio

PPG 0.22 · AWAY

LAST 5

LLLLL 

// Model verdict

Home

xG gap +2.10 for Home, form 2.00 vs 0.22 - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.4%0-11.9%0-20.8%0-30.2%0-4+0.1%1 1-06.9%1-15.7%1-22.3%1-30.6%1-4+0.2%2 2-010.1%2-18.3%2-23.4%2-30.9%2-4+0.2%3 3-09.8%3-18.1%3-23.3%3-30.9%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-014.8%4+-112.1%4+-25.0%4+-31.4%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 74.3% — — —

Draw 17.1% — — —

Away win 8.7% — — —

Over 2.5 68.2% — — —

Over 3.5 45.0% — — —

BTTS 53.6% — — —

Home O1.5 77.3% — — —

Away O1.5 23.5% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 65 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 51%

O2.5 69%

BTTS 66%

Score Hit 46%

ROI 47.0%

Bet Hit 83%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 10.1%

#2 3–0 9.8%

#3 1–1 5.7%

#4 2–1 8.3%

#5 3–1 8.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Jonsered2.9

Astrio0.8

COMBINED 3.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 68.2% · O3.5 PROB 45.0%

Form & verdict PPG

JONSERED · PPG 2.00

ASTRIO · PPG 0.22

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

xG gap +2.10 for Home, form 2.00 vs 0.22 - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Jonsered (H) 74.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 17.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Astrio (A) 8.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Jonsered face Astrio in Sweden - Division 2 - Västra Götaland on Sunday, August 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Jonsered a 74% chance, the draw 17% and Astrio 9%, so Jonsered are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.9 for Jonsered and 0.8 for Astrio (3.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 68% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 54% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Jonsered are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 0.22 for Astrio. This match finished 4-2.

Jonsered vs Astrio Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Västra Götaland

Match Preview & Prediction

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