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Deportivo Cali W vs Santa Fe W Prediction— Colombia - Liga Femenina

Promotion Group · Matchday 2 ·Saturday, August 29, 2026, 22:00

Deportivo Cali W

PPG 2.25 · HOME

LAST 5

LWWDW

3 – 0

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Santa Fe W

PPG 1.75 · AWAY

LAST 5

DWLDW

// Model verdict

Over 2.5 54% chance

Combined xG of 2.5 puts the goal expectation near the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-08.2%0-17.0%0-22.9%0-30.8%0-4+0.2%1 1-013.6%1-111.5%1-24.8%1-31.4%1-4+0.3%2 2-011.2%2-19.5%2-24.0%2-31.1%2-4+0.3%3 3-06.2%3-15.2%3-22.2%3-30.6%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-03.7%4+-13.1%4+-21.3%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 52.3% — — —

Draw 24.1% — — —

Away win 23.6% — — —

Over 2.5 53.5% — — —

Over 3.5 31.5% — — —

BTTS 52.7% — — —

Home O1.5 48.9% — — —

Away O1.5 23.6% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 40 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5 48%

BTTS 50%

Score Hit 50%

ROI -18.0%

Bet Hit 40%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.5%

#2 1–0 13.6%

#3 2–0 11.2%

#4 2–1 9.5%

#5 0–0 8.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Deportivo Cali W1.7

Santa Fe W0.8

COMBINED 2.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.5% · O3.5 PROB 31.5%

Form & verdict PPG

DEPORTIVO CALI W · PPG 2.25

SANTA FE W · PPG 1.75

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

Chance this pick lands

54%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.81 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Deportivo Cali W (H) 52.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 24.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Santa Fe W (A) 23.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Deportivo Cali W face Santa Fe W in Colombia - Liga Femenina on Saturday, August 29, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Deportivo Cali W a 52% chance, the draw 24% and Santa Fe W 24%, so Deportivo Cali W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Deportivo Cali W and 0.8 for Santa Fe W (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Deportivo Cali W are averaging 2.25 points per game versus 1.75 for Santa Fe W. This match finished 3-0.

Deportivo Cali W vs Santa Fe W Prediction— Colombia - Liga Femenina

Match Preview & Prediction

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