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Orsomarso W vs América de Cali W Prediction— Colombia - Liga Femenina

Promotion Group · Matchday 2 ·Saturday, August 29, 2026, 20:00

Orsomarso W

PPG 1.88 · HOME

LAST 5

WLLDL

0 – 2

FULL TIME

América de Cali W

PPG 2.12 · AWAY

LAST 5

WLWDL

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-015.5%0-116.0%0-28.3%0-32.8%0-4+0.9%1 1-012.9%1-113.3%1-26.9%1-32.4%1-4+0.8%2 2-05.4%2-15.5%2-22.9%2-31.0%2-4+0.3%3 3-01.5%3-11.5%3-20.8%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.4%4+-10.4%4+-20.2%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 30.2% — — —

Draw 29.5% — — —

Away win 40.2% — — —

Over 2.5 43.1% — — —

Over 3.5 20.7% — — —

BTTS 47.2% — — —

Home O1.5 30.9% — — —

Away O1.5 32.6% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 40 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5 48%

BTTS 50%

Score Hit 50%

ROI -18.0%

Bet Hit 40%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–1 16.0%

#2 0–0 15.5%

#3 1–1 13.3%

#4 1–0 12.9%

#5 0–2✓ 8.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Orsomarso W0.8

América de Cali W1.0

COMBINED 1.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 43.1% · O3.5 PROB 20.7%

Form & verdict PPG

ORSOMARSO W · PPG 1.88

AMÉRICA DE CALI W · PPG 2.12

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...

Chance this pick lands

47%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap -0.20, combined xG 1.86 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Orsomarso W (H) 30.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 29.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

América de Cali W (A) 40.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Orsomarso W face América de Cali W in Colombia - Liga Femenina on Saturday, August 29, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Orsomarso W a 30% chance, the draw 30% and América de Cali W 40%, so América de Cali W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.8 for Orsomarso W and 1.0 for América de Cali W (1.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-1. There is a 43% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 47% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Orsomarso W are averaging 1.88 points per game versus 2.12 for América de Cali W. This match finished 0-2.

Orsomarso W vs América de Cali W Prediction— Colombia - Liga Femenina

Match Preview & Prediction

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