Amstetten vs First Vienna Prediction— Austria - 2. Liga

Austria - 2. Liga Regular Season - 27 Ertl Glas Stadion· Amstetten Friday, April 24, 2026 16:00

Amstetten PPG 1.77

0-0 HIT CS3

First Vienna PPG 1.69

Draw· +2.3% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Amstetten face First Vienna in Austria - 2. Liga on Friday, April 24, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Amstetten a 42% chance, the draw 30% and First Vienna 28%, so Amstetten are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Amstetten and 0.9 for First Vienna (2.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 33% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 40% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Amstetten are averaging 1.77 points per game versus 1.69 for First Vienna. The best value bet our model finds is a draw, with an expected value of +2.3%. This match finished 0-0.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 42.4%

Odds: 2.15 EV: -8.8%

Draw 30.1%

Odds: 3.40 EV: +2.3%

Away 27.5%

Odds: 3.00 EV: -17.5%

Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 33.4% Odds: 1.90 -36.5%

Over 3.5 15.0% Odds: 3.25 -51.2%

BTTS 40.1% Odds: 1.67 -33.0%

O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-0 ✘

2nd 1-1 ✘

3rd 0-0 ✔

4th 0-1 ✘

5th 2-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Amstetten

1.16

First Vienna

0.88

Model SuggestionNo Bet  NO VALUE BET
Model lean: No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 32 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 56%

O2.5/Under 53%

BTTS/No 59%

Score Hit 56%

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.77), Away GOOD (1.69)