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Amstetten vs First Vienna Prediction— Austria - 2. Liga

Regular Season - 27 ·Friday, April 24, 2026, 16:00

Amstetten

PPG 1.77 · HOME

0 – 0

FULL TIME

First Vienna

PPG 1.69 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-013.0%0-111.4%0-25.0%0-31.5%0-4+0.4%1 1-015.2%1-113.3%1-25.8%1-31.7%1-4+0.4%2 2-08.8%2-17.7%2-23.4%2-31.0%2-4+0.3%3 3-03.4%3-13.0%3-21.3%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-01.3%4+-11.1%4+-20.5%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 42.4% 46.5% 2.15 -8.8%

Draw 30.1% 29.4% 3.40 +2.3%

Away win 27.5% 33.3% 3.00 -17.5%

Over 2.5 33.4% 52.6% 1.90 -36.5%

Over 3.5 15.0% 30.8% 3.25 -51.2%

BTTS 40.1% 59.9% 1.67 -33.0%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 32 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 56%

O2.5 53%

BTTS 59%

Score Hit 56%

ROI -31.5%

Bet Hit 43%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 46%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-0

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob40.1%

H 42% / xG 1.2-0.9 / U2.5 33% / NoBTTS 40%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 15.2%

#2 1–1 13.3%

#3 0–0✓ 13.0%

#4 0–1 11.4%

#5 2–0 8.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Amstetten1.2

First Vienna0.9

COMBINED 2.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 33.4% · O3.5 PROB 15.0%

Form & verdict PPG

AMSTETTEN · PPG 1.77

FIRST VIENNA · PPG 1.69

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.77), Away GOOD (1.69)

Win probability 1X2

Amstetten (H) 42.4%

ODDS 2.15 · IMPLIED 46.5% EV -8.8%

Draw 30.1%

ODDS 3.40 · IMPLIED 29.4% EV +2.3%

First Vienna (A) 27.5%

ODDS 3.00 · IMPLIED 33.3% EV -17.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

Amstetten face First Vienna in Austria - 2. Liga on Friday, April 24, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Amstetten a 42% chance, the draw 30% and First Vienna 28%, so Amstetten are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Amstetten and 0.9 for First Vienna (2.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 33% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 40% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Amstetten are averaging 1.77 points per game versus 1.69 for First Vienna. The best value bet our model finds is a draw, with an expected value of +2.3%. This match finished 0-0.

Amstetten vs First Vienna Prediction— Austria - 2. Liga

Match Preview & Prediction

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