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A. Klagenfurt vs A. Lustenau Prediction— Austria - 2. Liga

Austria - 2. Liga logo Austria flag Austria - 2. Liga Regular Season - 27 28 Black Arena· Klagenfurt Friday, April 24, 2026 16:00
A. Klagenfurt logo A. Klagenfurt PPG 0.91
3-0 MISS
A. Lustenau logo A. Lustenau PPG 1.67
Draw· -3.8% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value
63% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

A. Klagenfurt face A. Lustenau in Austria - 2. Liga on Friday, April 24, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives A. Klagenfurt a 21% chance, the draw 27% and A. Lustenau 52%, so A. Lustenau are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.8 for A. Klagenfurt and 1.4 for A. Lustenau (2.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-1. There is a 38% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 42% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, A. Klagenfurt are averaging 0.91 points per game versus 1.67 for A. Lustenau. This match finished 3-0.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 20.8%
Odds: 4.50 EV: -6.4%
Draw 27.1%
Odds: 3.55 EV: -3.8%
Away 52.1%
Odds: 1.73 EV: -9.9%
Model lean: Away Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 38.2% Odds: 1.95 -25.5%
Over 3.5 18.4% Odds: 3.35 -38.4%
BTTS 41.5% Odds: 1.80 -25.3%
O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 0-1
2nd 1-1
3rd 0-2
4th 0-0
5th 1-2

Expected Goals (xG)

A. Klagenfurt
0.79
A. Lustenau
1.43

Model Suggestion

Away -9.9% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Away, but EV is -9.9% at these odds — not a recommended bet.

League Track Record

Based on 32 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 56%
O2.5/Under 53%
BTTS/No 59%
Score Hit 56%

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value
63%
UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.67) vs Home POOR (0.91)

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