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A. Klagenfurt vs A. Lustenau Prediction— Austria - 2. Liga

Regular Season - 27 ·Friday, April 24, 2026, 16:00

A. Klagenfurt

PPG 0.91 · HOME

3 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · AWAY

A. Lustenau

PPG 1.67 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away

Model probability 52.1% vs bookmaker-implied 57.8%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-010.9%0-115.5%0-211.1%0-35.3%0-4+2.6%1 1-08.6%1-112.3%1-28.8%1-34.2%1-4+2.0%2 2-03.4%2-14.9%2-23.5%2-31.6%2-4+0.8%3 3-00.9%3-11.3%3-20.9%3-30.4%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-00.2%4+-10.3%4+-20.2%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 20.8% 22.2% 4.50 -6.4%

Draw 27.1% 28.2% 3.55 -3.8%

Away win 52.1% 57.8% 1.73 -9.9%

Over 2.5 38.2% 51.3% 1.95 -25.5%

Over 3.5 18.4% 29.9% 3.35 -38.4%

BTTS 41.5% 55.6% 1.80 -25.3%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 32 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 56%

O2.5 53%

BTTS 59%

Score Hit 56%

ROI -31.5%

Bet Hit 43%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 48%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-0

xG (home)0.8 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob41.5%

A 52% / xG 0.8-1.4 / U2.5 38% / NoBTTS 42%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–1 15.5%

#2 1–1 12.3%

#3 0–2 11.1%

#4 0–0 10.9%

#5 1–2 8.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

A. Klagenfurt0.8

A. Lustenau1.4

COMBINED 2.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 38.2% · O3.5 PROB 18.4%

Form & verdict PPG

A. KLAGENFURT · PPG 0.91

A. LUSTENAU · PPG 1.67

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.67) vs Home POOR (0.91)

Win probability 1X2

A. Klagenfurt (H) 20.8%

ODDS 4.50 · IMPLIED 22.2% EV -6.4%

Draw 27.1%

ODDS 3.55 · IMPLIED 28.2% EV -3.8%

A. Lustenau (A) 52.1%

ODDS 1.73 · IMPLIED 57.8% EV -9.9%

Match Preview & Prediction

A. Klagenfurt face A. Lustenau in Austria - 2. Liga on Friday, April 24, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives A. Klagenfurt a 21% chance, the draw 27% and A. Lustenau 52%, so A. Lustenau are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.8 for A. Klagenfurt and 1.4 for A. Lustenau (2.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-1. There is a 38% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 42% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, A. Klagenfurt are averaging 0.91 points per game versus 1.67 for A. Lustenau. This match finished 3-0.

A. Klagenfurt vs A. Lustenau Prediction— Austria - 2. Liga

Match Preview & Prediction

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