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AS Trencin vs Ružomberok Prediction— Slovakia - Super Liga

Matchday 6 ·Saturday, August 29, 2026, 16:00

AS Trencin

PPG 1.10 · HOME

LAST 5

DDLLW

2 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Ružomberok

PPG 0.81 · AWAY

LAST 5

LLLLL 

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 60.1% vs bookmaker-implied 66.7%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.3%0-16.1%0-23.5%0-31.4%0-4+0.5%1 1-09.5%1-110.9%1-26.3%1-32.4%1-4+0.9%2 2-08.4%2-19.7%2-25.6%2-32.2%2-4+0.8%3 3-05.0%3-15.8%3-23.3%3-31.3%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-03.3%4+-13.8%4+-22.2%4+-30.9%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 51.5% 43.9% 2.28 +17.4%

Draw 22.9% 28.6% 3.50 -11.9%

Away win 25.6% 36.5% 2.74 -17.9%

Over 2.5 59.7% 61.7% 1.62 -3.3%

Over 3.5 36.9% 39.2% 2.55 -5.9%

BTTS 60.1% 66.7% 1.50 -9.8%

Home O1.5 48.9% 51.3% 1.95 -4.6%

Away O1.5 33.0% 46.5% 2.15 -29.0%

League track record ↗

Based on 49 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 59%

O2.5 69%

BTTS 61%

Score Hit 35%

ROI 32.6%

Bet Hit 79%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 52%CONFIDENCE

✓ HIT — EXACT SCORE

xG (home)1.8 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob60.1%

H 52% / xG 1.8-1.2 / O2.5 60% / BTTS 60%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.9%

#2 2–1✓ 9.7%

#3 2–0 8.4%

#4 1–0 9.5%

#5 1–2 6.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

AS Trencin1.8

Ružomberok1.2

COMBINED 2.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.7% · O3.5 PROB 36.9%

Form & verdict PPG

AS TRENCIN · PPG 1.10

RUŽOMBEROK · PPG 0.81

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

75%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.62 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

AS Trencin (H) 51.5%

ODDS 2.28 · IMPLIED 43.9% EV +17.4%

Draw 22.9%

ODDS 3.50 · IMPLIED 28.6% EV -11.9%

Ružomberok (A) 25.6%

ODDS 2.74 · IMPLIED 36.5% EV -17.9%

Match Preview & Prediction

AS Trencin face Ružomberok in Slovakia - Super Liga on Saturday, August 29, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives AS Trencin a 52% chance, the draw 23% and Ružomberok 26%, so AS Trencin are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for AS Trencin and 1.2 for Ružomberok (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, AS Trencin are averaging 1.10 points per game versus 0.81 for Ružomberok. The best value bet our model finds is H/O25, with an expected value of +6.6%. This match finished 2-1.

AS Trencin vs Ružomberok Prediction— Slovakia - Super Liga

Match Preview & Prediction

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