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Podbrezová vs FK Košice Prediction— Slovakia - Super Liga

Matchday 6 ·Saturday, August 29, 2026, 16:00

Podbrezová

PPG 1.87 · HOME

LAST 5

LWWLD

2 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

FK Košice

PPG 1.35 · AWAY

LAST 5

DDWLD

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.9 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 68.2% vs bookmaker-implied 71.4%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.0%0-13.4%0-23.0%0-31.8%0-4+1.1%1 1-04.3%1-17.5%1-26.6%1-33.8%1-4+2.5%2 2-04.7%2-18.2%2-27.2%2-34.2%2-4+2.7%3 3-03.4%3-15.9%3-25.2%3-33.0%3-4+2.0%4+ 4+-03.1%4+-15.4%4+-24.7%4+-32.7%4+-4+1.8%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 44.7% 55.9% 1.79 -20.0%

Draw 21.3% 25.6% 3.90 -10.2%

Away win 34.0% 27.4% 3.65 +24.1%

Over 2.5 68.2% 71.4% 1.40 -4.5%

Over 3.5 48.2% 50.0% 2.00 -3.6%

BTTS 69.2% 72.5% 1.38 -4.5%

Home O1.5 65.6% 65.4% 1.53 +0.4%

Away O1.5 47.9% 45.5% 2.20 +5.4%

League track record ↗

Based on 49 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 59%

O2.5 69%

BTTS 61%

Score Hit 35%

ROI 32.6%

Bet Hit 79%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 62%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-2

xG (home)2.2 xG (away)1.8 BTTS prob69.2%

H 45% / xG 2.2-1.8 / O2.5 68% / BTTS 69%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 7.5%

#2 2–1 8.2%

#3 1–2 6.6%

#4 2–2✓ 7.2%

#5 3–1 5.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Podbrezová2.2

FK Košice1.8

COMBINED 3.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 68.2% · O3.5 PROB 48.2%

Form & verdict PPG

PODBREZOVÁ · PPG 1.87

FK KOŠICE · PPG 1.35

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

60%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.43 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Podbrezová (H) 44.7%

ODDS 1.79 · IMPLIED 55.9% EV -20.0%

Draw 21.3%

ODDS 3.90 · IMPLIED 25.6% EV -10.2%

FK Košice (A) 34.0%

ODDS 3.65 · IMPLIED 27.4% EV +24.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

Podbrezová face FK Košice in Slovakia - Super Liga on Saturday, August 29, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Podbrezová a 45% chance, the draw 21% and FK Košice 34%, so Podbrezová are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.2 for Podbrezová and 1.8 for FK Košice (3.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 68% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 69% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Podbrezová are averaging 1.87 points per game versus 1.35 for FK Košice. The best value bet our model finds is A/O25, with an expected value of +10.1%. This match finished 2-2.

Podbrezová vs FK Košice Prediction— Slovakia - Super Liga

Match Preview & Prediction

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