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Kelantan DN vs Selangor Prediction— Malaysia - Super League

Regular Season - 23 ·Friday, April 24, 2026, 13:00

Kelantan DN

PPG 0.80 · HOME

0 – 6

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · AWAY

Selangor

PPG 1.82 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away

Model probability 82.5% vs bookmaker-implied 83.3%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.4%0-111.5%0-215.0%0-313.1%0-4+16.2%1 1-02.2%1-15.8%1-27.6%1-36.7%1-4+8.2%2 2-00.6%2-11.5%2-21.9%2-31.7%2-4+2.1%3 3-00.1%3-10.2%3-20.3%3-30.3%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-00.0%4+-10.0%4+-20.0%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 5.1% 8.3% 12.00 -38.8%

Draw 12.4% 19.0% 5.25 -34.9%

Away win 82.5% 83.3% 1.20 -1.0%

Over 2.5 60.5% 70.4% 1.42 -14.1%

Over 3.5 38.2% 50.0% 2.00 -23.6%

BTTS 36.9% 55.6% 1.80 -33.6%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 24 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 63%

O2.5 71%

BTTS 46%

Score Hit 38%

ROI -1.2%

Bet Hit 70%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 3 78%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-6

xG (home)0.5 xG (away)2.6 BTTS prob36.9%

A 82% / xG 0.5-2.6 / O2.5 60% / NoBTTS 37%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–2 15.0%

#2 0–3 13.1%

#3 0–1 11.5%

#4 0–4 8.6%

#5 1–2 7.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Kelantan DN0.5

Selangor2.6

COMBINED 3.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 60.5% · O3.5 PROB 38.2%

Form & verdict PPG

KELANTAN DN · PPG 0.80

SELANGOR · PPG 1.82

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.82) vs Home POOR (0.80)

Win probability 1X2

Kelantan DN (H) 5.1%

ODDS 12.00 · IMPLIED 8.3% EV -38.8%

Draw 12.4%

ODDS 5.25 · IMPLIED 19.0% EV -34.9%

Selangor (A) 82.5%

ODDS 1.20 · IMPLIED 83.3% EV -1.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

Kelantan DN face Selangor in Malaysia - Super League on Friday, April 24, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Kelantan DN a 5% chance, the draw 12% and Selangor 83%, so Selangor are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.5 for Kelantan DN and 2.6 for Selangor (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-2. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 37% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Kelantan DN are averaging 0.80 points per game versus 1.82 for Selangor. This match finished 0-6.

Kelantan DN vs Selangor Prediction— Malaysia - Super League

Match Preview & Prediction

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