Today / Bosnia - 1st League - FBiH / Tomislav vs Travnik

Tomislav vs Travnik Prediction— Bosnia - 1st League - FBiH

FBiH · Matchday 3 ·Saturday, August 29, 2026, 14:30

Tomislav logo
Tomislav
PPG 1.40 · HOME
LAST 5
LL ···
2 – 4
FULL TIME
Travnik logo
Travnik
PPG 1.48 · AWAY
LAST 5
WW ···

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-09.3%0-19.4%0-24.8%0-31.6%0-4+0.5%1 1-012.6%1-112.8%1-26.5%1-32.2%1-4+0.7%2 2-08.6%2-18.7%2-24.4%2-31.5%2-4+0.5%3 3-03.9%3-14.0%3-22.0%3-30.7%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-01.8%4+-11.8%4+-20.9%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 40.6%
Draw 28.8%
Away win 30.6%
Over 2.5 44.8%
Over 3.5 26.3%
BTTS 47.2%
Home O1.5 38.0%
Away O1.5 32.6%

League track record

Based on 58 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 47%
O2.5 40%
BTTS 41%
Score Hit 33%
ROI -72.0%
Bet Hit 20%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.8%
#2 0–0 9.3%
#3 1–0 12.6%
#4 0–1 9.4%
#5 2–1 8.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Tomislav1.4
Travnik1.0

COMBINED 2.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 44.8% · O3.5 PROB 26.3%

Form & verdict PPG

TOMISLAV · PPG 1.40

TRAVNIK · PPG 1.48

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...
45%
HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.34, combined xG 2.38 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Tomislav (H) 40.6%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 28.8%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Travnik (A) 30.6%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Tomislav face Travnik in Bosnia - 1st League - FBiH on Saturday, August 29, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Tomislav a 41% chance, the draw 29% and Travnik 31%, so Tomislav are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Tomislav and 1.0 for Travnik (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 45% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 47% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Tomislav are averaging 1.40 points per game versus 1.48 for Travnik. This match finished 2-4.

PredictVantage

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