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PEPO vs PPJ Prediction— Finland - Kakkonen - Lohko A

Group A ·Saturday, August 29, 2026, 14:00

PEPO

PPG 2.56 · HOME

LAST 5

WWWDD

1 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

PPJ

PPG 1.33 · AWAY

LAST 5

DWLDW

// Model verdict

Over 2.5 68% chance

Combined xG of 3.6 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.8%0-13.4%0-22.0%0-30.8%0-4+0.3%1 1-06.8%1-18.0%1-24.7%1-31.9%1-4+0.7%2 2-08.0%2-19.5%2-25.6%2-32.2%2-4+0.8%3 3-06.4%3-17.5%3-24.5%3-31.8%3-4+0.7%4+ 4+-06.6%4+-17.8%4+-24.6%4+-31.8%4+-4+0.7%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 57.9% — — —

Draw 20.1% — — —

Away win 22.0% — — —

Over 2.5 68.2% — — —

Over 3.5 45.0% — — —

BTTS 63.1% — — —

Home O1.5 65.8% — — —

Away O1.5 33.6% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 48 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 52%

O2.5 73%

BTTS 79%

Score Hit 44%

ROI 31.8%

Bet Hit 83%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1✓ 8.0%

#2 2–1 9.5%

#3 2–0 8.0%

#4 3–1 7.5%

#5 1–2 4.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

PEPO2.4

PPJ1.2

COMBINED 3.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 68.2% · O3.5 PROB 45.0%

Form & verdict PPG

PEPO · PPG 2.56

PPJ · PPG 1.33

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

Chance this pick lands

68%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +1.19 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

PEPO (H) 57.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 20.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

PPJ (A) 22.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

PEPO face PPJ in Finland - Kakkonen - Lohko A on Saturday, August 29, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives PEPO a 58% chance, the draw 20% and PPJ 22%, so PEPO are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.4 for PEPO and 1.2 for PPJ (3.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 68% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, PEPO are averaging 2.56 points per game versus 1.33 for PPJ. This match finished 1-1.

PEPO vs PPJ Prediction— Finland - Kakkonen - Lohko A

Match Preview & Prediction

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