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Australia - Victoria NPL logo Australia flag Australia - Victoria NPL Regular Season - 10 Jack Edwards Reserve· Melbourne Friday, April 24, 2026 10:15
Oakleigh C. logo Oakleigh C. PPG 1.80
4-0 MISS
Bentleigh G. logo Bentleigh G. PPG 0.80
Away· +59.6% ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value
80% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 44.7%
Odds: 1.48 EV: -33.8%
Draw 26.8%
Odds: 4.10 EV: +9.9%
Away 28.5%
Odds: 5.60 EV: +59.6%
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 44.5% Odds: 1.55 -31.0%
Over 3.5 23.3% Odds: 2.38 -44.5%
BTTS 49.2% Odds: 1.62 -20.3%
O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 1-0
3rd 0-1
4th 2-1
5th 0-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Oakleigh C.
1.40
Bentleigh G.
1.06

Model Suggestion

No Bet NO VALUE BET
Model lean: No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.

Verdict & Form

✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value
80%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.80) vs P(Home)=44.7%

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