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Australia - Victoria NPL
Regular Season - 10
Jack Edwards Reserve· Melbourne
Friday, April 24, 2026
10:15
Oakleigh C.
PPG 1.80
4-0
MISS
Bentleigh G.
PPG 0.80
Away· +59.6%
✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value
80% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Home
44.7%
Odds: 1.48
EV: -33.8%
Draw
26.8%
Odds: 4.10
EV: +9.9%
Away
28.5%
Odds: 5.60
EV: +59.6%
Result: Home ✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5
44.5%
Odds: 1.55
-31.0%
Over 3.5
23.3%
Odds: 2.38
-44.5%
BTTS
49.2%
Odds: 1.62
-20.3%
O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘
BTTS NO → NO ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st
1-1
✘
2nd
1-0
✘
3rd
0-1
✘
4th
2-1
✘
5th
0-0
✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Oakleigh C.
1.40
Bentleigh G.
1.06
Model Suggestion
No Bet
NO VALUE BET
Model lean:
No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.
Verdict & Form
✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value
80%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME
Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.80) vs P(Home)=44.7%