St. Albans PPG 1.00
South Melbourne PPG 2.40St. Albans face South Melbourne in Australia - Victoria NPL on Friday, April 24, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives St. Albans a 16% chance, the draw 21% and South Melbourne 63%, so South Melbourne are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.8 for St. Albans and 1.9 for South Melbourne (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-1. There is a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, St. Albans are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 2.40 for South Melbourne. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +3.8%. This match finished 0-4.
Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.40) vs Home AVERAGE (1.00)