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Alingsås W vs Örebro SK W Prediction— Sweden - Elitettan

Matchday 16 ·Saturday, August 29, 2026, 13:00

Alingsås W

PPG 0.86 · HOME

LAST 5

DDLWD

1 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Örebro SK W

PPG 0.88 · AWAY

LAST 5

DLLDW

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap -0.21, combined xG 2.18 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-011.3%0-113.6%0-28.1%0-33.2%0-4+1.3%1 1-011.1%1-113.3%1-28.0%1-33.2%1-4+1.2%2 2-05.5%2-16.5%2-23.9%2-31.6%2-4+0.6%3 3-01.8%3-12.1%3-21.3%3-30.5%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-00.5%4+-10.6%4+-20.4%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 35.9% — — —

Draw 27.3% — — —

Away win 36.8% — — —

Over 2.5 44.8% — — —

Over 3.5 27.2% — — —

BTTS 51.8% — — —

Home O1.5 30.9% — — —

Away O1.5 35.1% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 49 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 55%

O2.5 51%

BTTS 61%

Score Hit 45%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1✓ 13.3%

#2 1–0 11.1%

#3 0–0 11.3%

#4 0–1 13.6%

#5 2–1 6.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Alingsås W1.0

Örebro SK W1.2

COMBINED 2.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 44.8% · O3.5 PROB 27.2%

Form & verdict PPG

ALINGSÅS W · PPG 0.86

ÖREBRO SK W · PPG 0.88

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...

45%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap -0.21, combined xG 2.18 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Alingsås W (H) 35.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 27.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Örebro SK W (A) 36.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Alingsås W face Örebro SK W in Sweden - Elitettan on Saturday, August 29, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Alingsås W a 36% chance, the draw 27% and Örebro SK W 37%, so Örebro SK W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Alingsås W and 1.2 for Örebro SK W (2.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 45% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Alingsås W are averaging 0.86 points per game versus 0.88 for Örebro SK W. This match finished 1-1.

Alingsås W vs Örebro SK W Prediction— Sweden - Elitettan

Match Preview & Prediction

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