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Enskede W vs Elfsborg W Prediction— Sweden - Elitettan

Matchday 14 ·Saturday, August 15, 2026, 11:00

Enskede W logo
Enskede W
PPG 1.33 · HOME
VS
UPCOMING
Elfsborg W logo
Elfsborg W
PPG 2.67 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away

xG gap -1.09 - moderate Away edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-010.8%0-117.9%0-214.8%0-38.2%0-4+4.9%1 1-06.1%1-110.2%1-28.4%1-34.7%1-4+2.8%2 2-01.7%2-12.9%2-22.4%2-31.3%2-4+0.8%3 3-00.3%3-10.5%3-20.5%3-30.3%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-00.1%4+-10.1%4+-20.1%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 15.1%
Draw 25.3%
Away win 59.6%
Over 2.5 49.9%
Over 3.5 28.7%
BTTS 47.7%
Home O1.5 30.2%
Away O1.5 47.7%

League track record

Based on 28 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%
O2.5 46%
BTTS 68%
Score Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 35%CONFIDENCE
xG (home)0.6 xG (away)1.7 BTTS prob47.7%

A 60% / xG 0.6-1.7 / U2.5 50% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–1 17.9%
#2 0–2 14.8%
#3 0–0 10.8%
#4 1–1 10.2%
#5 1–2 8.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Enskede W0.6
Elfsborg W1.7

COMBINED 2.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 49.9% · O3.5 PROB 28.7%

Form & verdict PPG

ENSKEDE W · PPG 1.33

ELFSBORG W · PPG 2.67

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value
45%
DANGER

xG gap -1.09 - moderate Away edge

Win probability 1X2

Enskede W (H) 15.1%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 25.3%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Elfsborg W (A) 59.6%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Enskede W face Elfsborg W in Sweden - Elitettan on Saturday, August 15, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Enskede W a 15% chance, the draw 25% and Elfsborg W 60%, so Elfsborg W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.6 for Enskede W and 1.7 for Elfsborg W (2.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-1. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Enskede W are averaging 1.33 points per game versus 2.67 for Elfsborg W.

PredictVantage

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