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Alingsås W vs Husqvarna W Prediction— Sweden - Elitettan

Matchday 14 ·Saturday, August 15, 2026, 13:00

Alingsås W

PPG 1.00 · HOME

UPCOMING

Husqvarna W

PPG 1.33 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap -0.19 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.6%0-110.5%0-27.3%0-33.4%0-4+1.6%1 1-09.0%1-112.5%1-28.7%1-34.0%1-4+1.9%2 2-05.4%2-17.5%2-25.2%2-32.4%2-4+1.1%3 3-02.1%3-13.0%3-22.1%3-31.0%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-00.8%4+-11.2%4+-20.8%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 37.3% — — —

Draw 26.6% — — —

Away win 36.1% — — —

Over 2.5 53.5% — — —

Over 3.5 31.6% — — —

BTTS 54.5% — — —

Home O1.5 31.7% — — —

Away O1.5 42.6% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 28 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 46%

BTTS 68%

Score Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 25%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob54.5%

A 36% / xG 1.2-1.4 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.5%

#2 0–0 7.6%

#3 1–2 8.7%

#4 0–1 10.5%

#5 2–1 7.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Alingsås W1.2

Husqvarna W1.4

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.5% · O3.5 PROB 31.6%

Form & verdict PPG

ALINGSÅS W · PPG 1.00

HUSQVARNA W · PPG 1.33

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap -0.19 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Alingsås W (H) 37.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 26.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Husqvarna W (A) 36.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Alingsås W face Husqvarna W in Sweden - Elitettan on Saturday, August 15, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Alingsås W a 37% chance, the draw 27% and Husqvarna W 36%, so Alingsås W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Alingsås W and 1.4 for Husqvarna W (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Alingsås W are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 1.33 for Husqvarna W.

Alingsås W vs Husqvarna W Prediction— Sweden - Elitettan

Match Preview & Prediction

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