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Gamla Upsala W vs Sandviken W Prediction— Sweden - Elitettan

Matchday 16 ·Saturday, August 29, 2026, 12:00

Gamla Upsala W logo
Gamla Upsala W
PPG 0.25 · HOME
LAST 5
LDLLL
1 – 3
FULL TIME
✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5
Sandviken W logo
Sandviken W
PPG 0.57 · AWAY
LAST 5
WLLLW

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.1 puts the goal expectation above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.6%0-15.6%0-23.4%0-31.4%0-4+0.5%1 1-08.6%1-110.4%1-26.3%1-32.5%1-4+1.0%2 2-08.1%2-19.7%2-25.9%2-32.4%2-4+0.9%3 3-05.0%3-16.1%3-23.7%3-31.5%3-4+0.6%4+ 4+-03.6%4+-14.3%4+-22.6%4+-31.1%4+-4+0.4%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 53.2%
Draw 22.8%
Away win 24.0%
Over 2.5 62.1%
Over 3.5 39.3%
BTTS 60.8%
Home O1.5 56.3%
Away O1.5 36.6%

League track record

Based on 49 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 55%
O2.5 51%
BTTS 61%
Score Hit 45%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.4%
#2 2–1 9.7%
#3 2–0 8.1%
#4 1–0 8.6%
#5 1–2 6.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Gamla Upsala W1.9
Sandviken W1.2

COMBINED 3.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 62.1% · O3.5 PROB 39.3%

Form & verdict PPG

GAMLA UPSALA W · PPG 0.25

SANDVIKEN W · PPG 0.57

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52%
MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.66 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Gamla Upsala W (H) 53.2%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 22.8%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Sandviken W (A) 24.0%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Gamla Upsala W face Sandviken W in Sweden - Elitettan on Saturday, August 29, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Gamla Upsala W a 53% chance, the draw 23% and Sandviken W 24%, so Gamla Upsala W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for Gamla Upsala W and 1.2 for Sandviken W (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 62% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Gamla Upsala W are averaging 0.25 points per game versus 0.57 for Sandviken W. This match finished 1-3.

PredictVantage

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