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Rosengård W vs Häcken W Prediction— Sweden - Damallsvenskan

Matchday 16 ·Saturday, August 29, 2026, 12:00

Rosengård W

PPG 0.71 · HOME

LAST 5

DLLDL

0 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · AWAY

Häcken W

PPG 2.62 · AWAY

LAST 5

WWWWW

// Model verdict

Away

Model probability 68.4% vs bookmaker-implied 76.9%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.0%0-19.2%0-210.7%0-38.3%0-4+8.4%1 1-03.6%1-18.3%1-29.7%1-37.5%1-4+7.6%2 2-01.6%2-13.7%2-24.4%2-33.4%2-4+3.4%3 3-00.5%3-11.1%3-21.3%3-31.0%3-4+1.0%4+ 4+-00.1%4+-10.3%4+-20.4%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 12.9% 13.3% 7.50 -1.9%

Draw 18.7% 22.2% 4.50 -9.5%

Away win 68.4% 76.9% 1.30 -11.1%

Over 2.5 62.7% 63.7% 1.57 -1.6%

Over 3.5 39.3% 42.0% 2.38 -6.5%

BTTS 53.3% 55.6% 1.80 -4.1%

Home O1.5 30.9% 22.0% 4.55 +40.6%

Away O1.5 67.8% 73.5% 1.36 -7.8%

League track record ↗

Based on 63 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 52%

O2.5 71%

BTTS 49%

Score Hit 40%

ROI -18.7%

Bet Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 53%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-1

xG (home)0.9 xG (away)2.3 BTTS prob53.3%

A 68% / xG 0.9-2.3 / O2.5 63% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–2 10.7%

#2 1–2 9.7%

#3 1–1 8.3%

#4 0–3 8.3%

#5 0–1✓ 9.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Rosengård W0.9

Häcken W2.3

COMBINED 3.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 62.7% · O3.5 PROB 39.3%

Form & verdict PPG

ROSENGÅRD W · PPG 0.71

HÄCKEN W · PPG 2.62

⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

65%

DANGER

xG gap -1.43 - moderate Away edge

Win probability 1X2

Rosengård W (H) 12.9%

ODDS 7.50 · IMPLIED 13.3% EV -1.9%

Draw 18.7%

ODDS 4.50 · IMPLIED 22.2% EV -9.5%

Häcken W (A) 68.4%

ODDS 1.30 · IMPLIED 76.9% EV -11.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

Rosengård W face Häcken W in Sweden - Damallsvenskan on Saturday, August 29, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Rosengård W a 13% chance, the draw 19% and Häcken W 68%, so Häcken W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for Rosengård W and 2.3 for Häcken W (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-2. There is a 63% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Rosengård W are averaging 0.71 points per game versus 2.62 for Häcken W. The best value bet our model finds is HomeO15, with an expected value of +40.6%. This match finished 0-1.

Rosengård W vs Häcken W Prediction— Sweden - Damallsvenskan

Match Preview & Prediction

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