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Norrköping W vs Djurgården W Prediction— Sweden - Damallsvenskan

Matchday 16 ·Sunday, August 30, 2026, 13:00

Norrköping W

PPG 0.75 · HOME

LAST 5

LWLDL

0 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Djurgården W

PPG 0.75 · AWAY

LAST 5

LWWDW

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 55.0% vs bookmaker-implied 66.7%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.5%0-18.8%0-25.2%0-32.0%0-4+0.8%1 1-010.6%1-112.5%1-27.3%1-32.9%1-4+1.1%2 2-07.5%2-18.8%2-25.2%2-32.0%2-4+0.8%3 3-03.5%3-14.2%3-22.5%3-31.0%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-01.7%4+-12.0%4+-21.2%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 39.4% 43.5% 2.30 -9.4%

Draw 24.6% 32.3% 3.10 -14.2%

Away win 36.0% 38.2% 2.62 -5.7%

Over 2.5 53.5% 59.9% 1.67 -10.7%

Over 3.5 36.2% 38.2% 2.62 -5.2%

BTTS 55.0% 66.7% 1.50 -17.5%

Home O1.5 40.1% 50.0% 2.00 -19.8%

Away O1.5 33.0% 44.4% 2.25 -25.8%

League track record ↗

Based on 63 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 52%

O2.5 71%

BTTS 49%

Score Hit 40%

ROI -18.7%

Bet Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 26%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-1

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob55.0%

H 39% / xG 1.4-1.2 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.5%

#2 1–2 7.3%

#3 2–1 8.8%

#4 0–1✓ 8.8%

#5 1–0 10.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Norrköping W1.4

Djurgården W1.2

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.5% · O3.5 PROB 36.2%

Form & verdict PPG

NORRKÖPING W · PPG 0.75

DJURGÅRDEN W · PPG 0.75

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.24 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Norrköping W (H) 39.4%

ODDS 2.30 · IMPLIED 43.5% EV -9.4%

Draw 24.6%

ODDS 3.10 · IMPLIED 32.3% EV -14.2%

Djurgården W (A) 36.0%

ODDS 2.62 · IMPLIED 38.2% EV -5.7%

Match Preview & Prediction

Norrköping W face Djurgården W in Sweden - Damallsvenskan on Sunday, August 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Norrköping W a 39% chance, the draw 25% and Djurgården W 36%, so Norrköping W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Norrköping W and 1.2 for Djurgården W (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Norrköping W are averaging 0.75 points per game versus 0.75 for Djurgården W. This match finished 0-1.

Norrköping W vs Djurgården W Prediction— Sweden - Damallsvenskan

Match Preview & Prediction

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