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Piteå W vs Uppsala W Prediction— Sweden - Damallsvenskan

Matchday 15 ·Sunday, August 23, 2026, 12:00

Piteå W

PPG 1.00 · HOME

LAST 5

DLLWD

5 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME

Uppsala W

PPG 0.00 · AWAY

LAST 5

LLLLL 

// Model verdict

Home

Model probability 65.0% vs bookmaker-implied 82.0%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.7%0-13.4%0-21.5%0-30.5%0-4+0.1%1 1-08.9%1-18.0%1-23.6%1-31.1%1-4+0.3%2 2-010.7%2-19.6%2-24.3%2-31.3%2-4+0.3%3 3-08.5%3-17.6%3-23.4%3-31.0%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-08.9%4+-18.0%4+-23.6%4+-31.1%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 65.0% 82.0% 1.22 -20.7%

Draw 19.5% 19.6% 5.10 -0.3%

Away win 15.5% 10.9% 9.20 +25.6%

Over 2.5 64.6% 73.0% 1.37 -11.5%

Over 3.5 43.5% 52.6% 1.90 -17.3%

BTTS 55.0% 57.1% 1.75 -3.8%

Home O1.5 65.1% 77.5% 1.29 -16.0%

Away O1.5 22.8% 22.7% 4.40 +0.2%

League track record ↗

Based on 63 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 52%

O2.5 71%

BTTS 49%

Score Hit 40%

ROI -18.7%

Bet Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 55%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 5-1

xG (home)2.4 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob55.0%

H 65% / xG 2.4-0.9 / O2.5 65% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 10.7%

#2 1–1 8.0%

#3 2–1 9.6%

#4 3–0 8.5%

#5 1–0 8.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Piteå W2.4

Uppsala W0.9

COMBINED 3.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 64.6% · O3.5 PROB 43.5%

Form & verdict PPG

PITEÅ W · PPG 1.00

UPPSALA W · PPG 0.00

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

75%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +1.49 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Piteå W (H) 65.0%

ODDS 1.22 · IMPLIED 82.0% EV -20.7%

Draw 19.5%

ODDS 5.10 · IMPLIED 19.6% EV -0.3%

Uppsala W (A) 15.5%

ODDS 9.20 · IMPLIED 10.9% EV +25.6%

Match Preview & Prediction

Piteå W face Uppsala W in Sweden - Damallsvenskan on Sunday, August 23, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Piteå W a 65% chance, the draw 20% and Uppsala W 16%, so Piteå W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.4 for Piteå W and 0.9 for Uppsala W (3.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 65% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Piteå W are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 0.00 for Uppsala W. The best value bet our model finds is A/BTTS, with an expected value of +32.7%. This match finished 5-1.

Piteå W vs Uppsala W Prediction— Sweden - Damallsvenskan

Match Preview & Prediction

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