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Hammarby W vs Vittsjö W Prediction— Sweden - Damallsvenskan

Matchday 16 ·Saturday, August 29, 2026, 13:00

Hammarby W

PPG 2.57 · HOME

LAST 5

WWWDW

3 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME

Vittsjö W

PPG 1.43 · AWAY

LAST 5

WDWDL

// Model verdict

Home

Model probability 72.7% vs bookmaker-implied 89.3%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.8%0-13.3%0-20.8%0-30.1%0-4+0.0%1 1-014.9%1-17.2%1-21.8%1-30.3%1-4+0.0%2 2-016.5%2-18.0%2-21.9%2-30.3%2-4+0.0%3 3-012.2%3-15.9%3-21.4%3-30.2%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-011.3%4+-15.4%4+-21.3%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 72.7% 89.3% 1.12 -18.6%

Draw 18.9% 15.4% 6.50 +13.7%

Away win 8.5% 6.7% 15.00 +16.5%

Over 2.5 53.5% 73.5% 1.36 -27.2%

Over 3.5 31.6% 54.6% 1.83 -42.2%

BTTS 47.2% 50.0% 2.00 -5.6%

Home O1.5 65.8% 83.3% 1.20 -21.0%

Away O1.5 15.1% 16.7% 6.00 -5.6%

League track record ↗

Based on 63 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 52%

O2.5 71%

BTTS 49%

Score Hit 40%

ROI -18.7%

Bet Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 0 50%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-1

xG (home)2.2 xG (away)0.5 BTTS prob47.2%

H 73% / xG 2.2-0.5 / O2.5 54% / NoBTTS 47%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 16.5%

#2 1–0 14.9%

#3 3–0 12.2%

#4 1–1 7.2%

#5 0–0 6.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Hammarby W2.2

Vittsjö W0.5

COMBINED 2.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.5% · O3.5 PROB 31.6%

Form & verdict PPG

HAMMARBY W · PPG 2.57

VITTSJÖ W · PPG 1.43

✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value

95%

STRONG_HOME

xG gap +1.73 for Home, form 2.57 vs 1.43 - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Hammarby W (H) 72.7%

ODDS 1.12 · IMPLIED 89.3% EV -18.6%

Draw 18.9%

ODDS 6.50 · IMPLIED 15.4% EV +13.7%

Vittsjö W (A) 8.5%

ODDS 15.00 · IMPLIED 6.7% EV +16.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

Hammarby W face Vittsjö W in Sweden - Damallsvenskan on Saturday, August 29, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Hammarby W a 73% chance, the draw 19% and Vittsjö W 9%, so Hammarby W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.2 for Hammarby W and 0.5 for Vittsjö W (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 47% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Hammarby W are averaging 2.57 points per game versus 1.43 for Vittsjö W. The best value bet our model finds is D/BTTS, with an expected value of +14.1%. This match finished 3-1.

Hammarby W vs Vittsjö W Prediction— Sweden - Damallsvenskan

Match Preview & Prediction

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