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Djurgården W vs Brommapojkarna W Prediction— Sweden - Damallsvenskan

Matchday 15 ·Saturday, August 22, 2026, 13:00

Djurgården W

PPG 1.33 · HOME

LAST 5

LWWDW

2 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME O1.5

Brommapojkarna W

PPG 0.86 · AWAY

LAST 5

WLLDD

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

Model probability 65.1% vs bookmaker-implied 63.3% — a real, if thin, edge.

+2.9% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.0%0-14.2%0-22.2%0-30.8%0-4+0.2%1 1-08.7%1-19.1%1-24.7%1-31.6%1-4+0.5%2 2-09.4%2-19.9%2-25.2%2-31.8%2-4+0.6%3 3-06.9%3-17.2%3-23.7%3-31.3%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-06.2%4+-16.5%4+-23.4%4+-31.2%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 57.8% 55.6% 1.80 +4.0%

Draw 20.7% 29.4% 3.40 -17.8%

Away win 21.4% 27.8% 3.60 -13.8%

Over 2.5 63.6% 67.6% 1.48 -5.9%

Over 3.5 42.3% 44.1% 2.27 -4.0%

BTTS 60.3% 66.7% 1.50 -9.6%

Home O1.5 65.1% 63.3% 1.58 +2.9%

Away O1.5 32.7% 39.4% 2.54 -16.9%

League track record ↗

Based on 63 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 52%

O2.5 71%

BTTS 49%

Score Hit 40%

ROI -18.7%

Bet Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 53%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-2

xG (home)2.2 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob60.3%

H 58% / xG 2.2-1.0 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 60%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.1%

#2 2–1 9.9%

#3 2–0 9.4%

#4 1–0 8.7%

#5 3–1 7.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Djurgården W2.2

Brommapojkarna W1.0

COMBINED 3.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.6% · O3.5 PROB 42.3%

Form & verdict PPG

DJURGÅRDEN W · PPG 1.33

BROMMAPOJKARNA W · PPG 0.86

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

75%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +1.14 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Djurgården W (H) 57.8%

ODDS 1.80 · IMPLIED 55.6% EV +4.0%

Draw 20.7%

ODDS 3.40 · IMPLIED 29.4% EV -17.8%

Brommapojkarna W (A) 21.4%

ODDS 3.60 · IMPLIED 27.8% EV -13.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

Djurgården W face Brommapojkarna W in Sweden - Damallsvenskan on Saturday, August 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Djurgården W a 58% chance, the draw 21% and Brommapojkarna W 21%, so Djurgården W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.2 for Djurgården W and 1.0 for Brommapojkarna W (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Djurgården W are averaging 1.33 points per game versus 0.86 for Brommapojkarna W. The best value bet our model finds is HomeO15, with an expected value of +2.9%. This match finished 2-2.

Djurgården W vs Brommapojkarna W Prediction— Sweden - Damallsvenskan

Match Preview & Prediction

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