Today / Sweden - Damallsvenskan / Uppsala W vs Eskilstuna United W

Uppsala W vs Eskilstuna United W Prediction— Sweden - Damallsvenskan

Matchday 16 ·Friday, August 28, 2026, 17:00

Uppsala W

PPG 0.86 · HOME

LAST 5

LLLLL 

0 – 6

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Eskilstuna United W

PPG 1.43 · AWAY

LAST 5

LWWLW

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 2.3 puts the goal expectation near the line. Model probability 50.5% vs bookmaker-implied 62.5%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-09.8%0-112.6%0-28.2%0-33.5%0-4+1.5%1 1-010.1%1-113.0%1-28.4%1-33.6%1-4+1.6%2 2-05.2%2-16.7%2-24.4%2-31.9%2-4+0.8%3 3-01.8%3-12.3%3-21.5%3-30.6%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-00.6%4+-10.7%4+-20.5%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 28.5% 8.3% 12.00 +145.2%

Draw 24.7% 20.8% 4.80 +11.1%

Away win 46.8% 82.0% 1.22 -42.9%

Over 2.5 50.5% 62.5% 1.60 -19.2%

Over 3.5 30.5% 42.0% 2.38 -27.4%

BTTS 49.2% 45.5% 2.20 +8.2%

Home O1.5 30.9% 14.3% 7.00 +116.3%

Away O1.5 37.1% 75.2% 1.33 -50.7%

League track record ↗

Based on 63 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 52%

O2.5 71%

BTTS 49%

Score Hit 40%

ROI -18.7%

Bet Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 23%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-6

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob49.2%

A 47% / xG 1.0-1.3 / U2.5 50% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–1 12.6%

#2 1–1 13.0%

#3 1–2 8.4%

#4 0–2 8.2%

#5 0–0 9.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Uppsala W1.0

Eskilstuna United W1.3

COMBINED 2.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.5% · O3.5 PROB 30.5%

Form & verdict PPG

UPPSALA W · PPG 0.86

ESKILSTUNA UNITED W · PPG 1.43

⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected

65%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap -0.26, combined xG 2.33 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Uppsala W (H) 28.5%

ODDS 12.00 · IMPLIED 8.3% EV +145.2%

Draw 24.7%

ODDS 4.80 · IMPLIED 20.8% EV +11.1%

Eskilstuna United W (A) 46.8%

ODDS 1.22 · IMPLIED 82.0% EV -42.9%

Match Preview & Prediction

Uppsala W face Eskilstuna United W in Sweden - Damallsvenskan on Friday, August 28, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Uppsala W a 28% chance, the draw 25% and Eskilstuna United W 47%, so Eskilstuna United W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Uppsala W and 1.3 for Eskilstuna United W (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-1. There is a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Uppsala W are averaging 0.86 points per game versus 1.43 for Eskilstuna United W. The best value bet our model finds is H/O25, with an expected value of +225.4%. This match finished 0-6.

Uppsala W vs Eskilstuna United W Prediction— Sweden - Damallsvenskan

Match Preview & Prediction

More Sweden - Damallsvenskan Predictions