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KIF Örebro W vs Umeå W Prediction— Sweden - Elitettan

Matchday 16 ·Saturday, August 29, 2026, 11:00

KIF Örebro W

PPG 2.57 · HOME

LAST 5

WLWWW

2 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Umeå W

PPG 1.43 · AWAY

LAST 5

DWWWL

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.1 puts the goal expectation above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.6%0-15.8%0-23.7%0-31.6%0-4+0.7%1 1-08.3%1-110.5%1-26.7%1-32.8%1-4+1.2%2 2-07.5%2-19.6%2-26.1%2-32.6%2-4+1.1%3 3-04.6%3-15.8%3-23.7%3-31.6%3-4+0.7%4+ 4+-03.1%4+-14.0%4+-22.5%4+-31.1%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 46.4% — — —

Draw 24.3% — — —

Away win 29.3% — — —

Over 2.5 59.7% — — —

Over 3.5 36.7% — — —

BTTS 56.0% — — —

Home O1.5 50.9% — — —

Away O1.5 36.6% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 49 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 55%

O2.5 51%

BTTS 61%

Score Hit 45%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.5%

#2 2–1✓ 9.6%

#3 1–2 6.7%

#4 2–0 7.5%

#5 1–0 8.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

KIF Örebro W1.8

Umeå W1.3

COMBINED 3.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.7% · O3.5 PROB 36.7%

Form & verdict PPG

KIF ÖREBRO W · PPG 2.57

UMEÅ W · PPG 1.43

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.55 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

KIF Örebro W (H) 46.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 24.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Umeå W (A) 29.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

KIF Örebro W face Umeå W in Sweden - Elitettan on Saturday, August 29, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives KIF Örebro W a 46% chance, the draw 24% and Umeå W 29%, so KIF Örebro W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for KIF Örebro W and 1.3 for Umeå W (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 56% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, KIF Örebro W are averaging 2.57 points per game versus 1.43 for Umeå W. This match finished 2-1.

KIF Örebro W vs Umeå W Prediction— Sweden - Elitettan

Match Preview & Prediction

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