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Deportivo Cuenca Juniors vs 9 de Octubre Prediction— Ecuador - Liga Pro Serie B

Promotion Group · Matchday 1 ·Friday, August 28, 2026, 00:00

Deportivo Cuenca Juniors

PPG 1.64 · HOME

LAST 5

DLWLD

1 – 1

FULL TIME

9 de Octubre

PPG 1.18 · AWAY

LAST 5

DLDDD

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-023.8%0-115.8%0-25.2%0-31.2%0-4+0.2%1 1-018.4%1-112.2%1-24.0%1-30.9%1-4+0.2%2 2-07.1%2-14.7%2-21.6%2-30.3%2-4+0.1%3 3-01.8%3-11.2%3-20.4%3-30.1%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-00.4%4+-10.3%4+-20.1%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 36.1% 38.5% 2.60 -6.1%

Draw 34.4% 40.8% 2.45 -15.7%

Away win 29.6% 32.3% 3.10 -4.9%

Over 2.5 34.2% 28.6% 3.50 +19.7%

Over 3.5 14.2% 13.5% 7.40 +3.0%

BTTS 42.6% 40.0% 2.50 +6.5%

Home O1.5 30.9% 27.3% 3.66 +13.1%

Away O1.5 18.2% 22.2% 4.50 -10.9%

League track record ↗

Based on 36 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 33%

O2.5 53%

BTTS 75%

Score Hit 67%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 54%CONFIDENCE

✓ HIT — EXACT SCORE

xG (home)0.8 xG (away)0.7 BTTS prob42.6%

D 34% / xG 0.8-0.7 / U2.5 34% / NoBTTS 43%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 23.8%

#2 1–0 18.4%

#3 0–1 15.8%

#4 1–1✓ 12.2%

#5 2–0 7.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Deportivo Cuenca Juniors0.8

9 de Octubre0.7

COMBINED 1.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 34.2% · O3.5 PROB 14.2%

Form & verdict PPG

DEPORTIVO CUENCA JUNIORS · PPG 1.64

9 DE OCTUBRE · PPG 1.18

⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected

65%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.11, combined xG 1.44 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Deportivo Cuenca Juniors (H) 36.1%

ODDS 2.60 · IMPLIED 38.5% EV -6.1%

Draw 34.4%

ODDS 2.45 · IMPLIED 40.8% EV -15.7%

9 de Octubre (A) 29.6%

ODDS 3.10 · IMPLIED 32.3% EV -4.9%

Match Preview & Prediction

Deportivo Cuenca Juniors face 9 de Octubre in Ecuador - Liga Pro Serie B on Friday, August 28, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Deportivo Cuenca Juniors a 36% chance, the draw 34% and 9 de Octubre 30%, so Deportivo Cuenca Juniors are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.8 for Deportivo Cuenca Juniors and 0.7 for 9 de Octubre (1.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 34% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 43% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Deportivo Cuenca Juniors are averaging 1.64 points per game versus 1.18 for 9 de Octubre. The best value bet our model finds is over 2.5 goals, with an expected value of +19.7%. This match finished 1-1.

Deportivo Cuenca Juniors vs 9 de Octubre Prediction— Ecuador - Liga Pro Serie B

Match Preview & Prediction

More Ecuador - Liga Pro Serie B Predictions