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Deportivo Cuenca Juniors vs Gualaceo SC Prediction— Ecuador - Liga Pro Serie B

Matchday 22 ·Thursday, August 20, 2026, 20:30

Deportivo Cuenca Juniors

PPG 1.80 · HOME

LAST 5

DLWLD

0 – 3

FULL TIME

Gualaceo SC

PPG 0.80 · AWAY

LAST 5

LLDWW

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-019.0%0-110.3%0-22.8%0-30.5%0-4+0.1%1 1-021.2%1-111.5%1-23.1%1-30.6%1-4+0.1%2 2-011.8%2-16.4%2-21.8%2-30.3%2-4+0.0%3 3-04.4%3-12.4%3-20.7%3-30.1%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-01.6%4+-10.9%4+-20.2%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 45.7% 60.6% 1.65 -24.6%

Draw 32.0% 29.4% 3.40 +8.8%

Away win 22.3% 20.0% 5.00 +6.9%

Over 2.5 34.5% 42.6% 2.35 -18.9%

Over 3.5 18.2% 23.3% 4.30 -13.0%

BTTS 43.6% 46.5% 2.15 -6.3%

Home O1.5 30.6% 49.5% 2.02 -38.2%

Away O1.5 16.4% 20.4% 4.90 -11.8%

League track record ↗

Based on 36 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 33%

O2.5 53%

BTTS 75%

Score Hit 67%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 41%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-3

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)0.5 BTTS prob43.6%

H 46% / xG 1.1-0.5 / U2.5 34% / NoBTTS 44%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 21.2%

#2 0–0 19.0%

#3 0–1 10.3%

#4 1–1 11.5%

#5 2–0 11.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Deportivo Cuenca Juniors1.1

Gualaceo SC0.5

COMBINED 1.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 34.5% · O3.5 PROB 18.2%

Form & verdict PPG

DEPORTIVO CUENCA JUNIORS · PPG 1.80

GUALACEO SC · PPG 0.80

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

75%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.57 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Deportivo Cuenca Juniors (H) 45.7%

ODDS 1.65 · IMPLIED 60.6% EV -24.6%

Draw 32.0%

ODDS 3.40 · IMPLIED 29.4% EV +8.8%

Gualaceo SC (A) 22.3%

ODDS 5.00 · IMPLIED 20.0% EV +6.9%

Match Preview & Prediction

Deportivo Cuenca Juniors face Gualaceo SC in Ecuador - Liga Pro Serie B on Thursday, August 20, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Deportivo Cuenca Juniors a 46% chance, the draw 32% and Gualaceo SC 22%, so Deportivo Cuenca Juniors are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Deportivo Cuenca Juniors and 0.5 for Gualaceo SC (1.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 35% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 44% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Deportivo Cuenca Juniors are averaging 1.80 points per game versus 0.80 for Gualaceo SC. This match finished 0-3.

Deportivo Cuenca Juniors vs Gualaceo SC Prediction— Ecuador - Liga Pro Serie B

Match Preview & Prediction

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