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Atlético Nacional W vs Millonarios W Prediction— Colombia - Liga Femenina

Promotion Group · Matchday 2 ·Thursday, August 27, 2026, 21:00

Atlético Nacional W

PPG 2.62 · HOME

LAST 5

WLLWW

0 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Millonarios W

PPG 1.88 · AWAY

LAST 5

WDWWD

// Model verdict

BTTS 54% chance

xG gap +0.63 - moderate Home edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-08.6%0-17.9%0-23.6%0-31.1%0-4+0.3%1 1-013.3%1-112.1%1-25.5%1-31.7%1-4+0.5%2 2-010.2%2-19.3%2-24.2%2-31.3%2-4+0.4%3 3-05.2%3-14.8%3-22.2%3-30.7%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-02.8%4+-12.6%4+-21.2%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 49.0% — — —

Draw 24.5% — — —

Away win 26.5% — — —

Over 2.5 53.3% — — —

Over 3.5 31.5% — — —

BTTS 53.6% — — —

Home O1.5 42.7% — — —

Away O1.5 25.7% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 40 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5 48%

BTTS 50%

Score Hit 50%

ROI -18.0%

Bet Hit 40%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.1%

#2 1–0 13.3%

#3 2–0 10.2%

#4 2–1 9.3%

#5 0–0 8.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Atlético Nacional W1.5

Millonarios W0.9

COMBINED 2.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.3% · O3.5 PROB 31.5%

Form & verdict PPG

ATLÉTICO NACIONAL W · PPG 2.62

MILLONARIOS W · PPG 1.88

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

Chance this pick lands

54%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.63 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Atlético Nacional W (H) 49.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 24.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Millonarios W (A) 26.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Atlético Nacional W face Millonarios W in Colombia - Liga Femenina on Thursday, August 27, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Atlético Nacional W a 49% chance, the draw 25% and Millonarios W 27%, so Atlético Nacional W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Atlético Nacional W and 0.9 for Millonarios W (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 54% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Atlético Nacional W are averaging 2.62 points per game versus 1.88 for Millonarios W. This match finished 0-1.

Atlético Nacional W vs Millonarios W Prediction— Colombia - Liga Femenina

Match Preview & Prediction

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