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Villa San Carlos vs Flandria Prediction— Argentina - Primera B Metropolitana

Matchday 32 ·Tuesday, August 25, 2026, 18:00

Villa San Carlos

PPG 1.00 · HOME

LAST 5

WWWWL

3 – 2

FULL TIME

Flandria

PPG 0.67 · AWAY

LAST 5

DDWLW

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-014.8%0-111.2%0-24.2%0-31.1%0-4+0.2%1 1-017.1%1-112.9%1-24.9%1-31.2%1-4+0.3%2 2-09.8%2-17.4%2-22.8%2-30.7%2-4+0.2%3 3-03.8%3-12.9%3-21.1%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-01.4%4+-11.1%4+-20.4%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 44.7% 44.4% 2.25 +0.6%

Draw 31.8% 35.1% 2.85 -9.4%

Away win 23.5% 30.8% 3.25 -14.2%

Over 2.5 37.8% 35.1% 2.85 +7.7%

Over 3.5 18.0% 20.0% 5.00 -6.0%

BTTS 43.7% 45.5% 2.20 -3.9%

Home O1.5 31.1% 35.1% 2.85 -11.4%

Away O1.5 20.6% 26.0% 3.85 -12.4%

League track record ↗

Based on 173 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 41%

O2.5 72%

BTTS 65%

Score Hit 68%

ROI 17.6%

Bet Hit 55%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 41%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-2

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob43.7%

H 45% / xG 1.2-0.8 / U2.5 38% / NoBTTS 44%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 17.1%

#2 0–0 14.8%

#3 1–1 12.9%

#4 2–0 9.8%

#5 0–1 11.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Villa San Carlos1.2

Flandria0.8

COMBINED 1.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 37.8% · O3.5 PROB 18.0%

Form & verdict PPG

VILLA SAN CARLOS · PPG 1.00

FLANDRIA · PPG 0.67

⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected

65%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.40, combined xG 1.91 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Villa San Carlos (H) 44.7%

ODDS 2.25 · IMPLIED 44.4% EV +0.6%

Draw 31.8%

ODDS 2.85 · IMPLIED 35.1% EV -9.4%

Flandria (A) 23.5%

ODDS 3.25 · IMPLIED 30.8% EV -14.2%

Match Preview & Prediction

Villa San Carlos face Flandria in Argentina - Primera B Metropolitana on Tuesday, August 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Villa San Carlos a 45% chance, the draw 32% and Flandria 24%, so Villa San Carlos are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Villa San Carlos and 0.8 for Flandria (1.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 38% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 44% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Villa San Carlos are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 0.67 for Flandria. The best value bet our model finds is BTTS/O25, with an expected value of +19.3%. This match finished 3-2.

Villa San Carlos vs Flandria Prediction— Argentina - Primera B Metropolitana

Match Preview & Prediction

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