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Talleres Cordoba vs Rosario Central Prediction— Argentina - Liga Profesional Argentina

Clausura · Matchday 6 ·Tuesday, August 25, 2026, 00:15

Talleres Cordoba

PPG 1.30 · HOME

LAST 5

WLLDD

2 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Rosario Central

PPG 1.67 · AWAY

LAST 5

WWWDL

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 50.5% vs bookmaker-implied 52.4%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-011.7%0-112.4%0-26.6%0-32.3%0-4+0.8%1 1-012.7%1-113.5%1-27.1%1-32.5%1-4+0.8%2 2-06.9%2-17.3%2-23.9%2-31.4%2-4+0.5%3 3-02.5%3-12.7%3-21.4%3-30.5%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-00.9%4+-10.9%4+-20.5%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 36.3% 36.5% 2.74 -0.5%

Draw 27.7% 34.0% 2.94 -11.1%

Away win 36.0% 36.5% 2.74 -1.4%

Over 2.5 44.8% 42.6% 2.35 +5.3%

Over 3.5 26.5% 23.1% 4.33 +8.8%

BTTS 50.5% 52.4% 1.91 -3.5%

Home O1.5 30.9% 34.7% 2.88 -11.0%

Away O1.5 32.6% 34.7% 2.88 -6.1%

League track record ↗

Based on 134 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 41%

O2.5 60%

BTTS 63%

Score Hit 52%

ROI -5.7%

Bet Hit 46%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 25%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-2

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob50.5%

H 36% / xG 1.1-1.1 / U2.5 45% / BTTS 50%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.5%

#2 0–1 12.4%

#3 1–0 12.7%

#4 0–0 11.7%

#5 1–2 7.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Talleres Cordoba1.1

Rosario Central1.1

COMBINED 2.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 44.8% · O3.5 PROB 26.5%

Form & verdict PPG

TALLERES CORDOBA · PPG 1.30

ROSARIO CENTRAL · PPG 1.67

⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected

65%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.03, combined xG 2.15 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Talleres Cordoba (H) 36.3%

ODDS 2.74 · IMPLIED 36.5% EV -0.5%

Draw 27.7%

ODDS 2.94 · IMPLIED 34.0% EV -11.1%

Rosario Central (A) 36.0%

ODDS 2.74 · IMPLIED 36.5% EV -1.4%

Match Preview & Prediction

Talleres Cordoba face Rosario Central in Argentina - Liga Profesional Argentina on Tuesday, August 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Talleres Cordoba a 36% chance, the draw 28% and Rosario Central 36%, so Talleres Cordoba are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Talleres Cordoba and 1.1 for Rosario Central (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 45% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 51% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Talleres Cordoba are averaging 1.30 points per game versus 1.67 for Rosario Central. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +8.8%. This match finished 2-2.

Talleres Cordoba vs Rosario Central Prediction— Argentina - Liga Profesional Argentina

Match Preview & Prediction

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