Today / Argentina - Liga Profesional Argentina / Lanus vs Argentinos JRS

Lanus vs Argentinos JRS Prediction— Argentina - Liga Profesional Argentina

Clausura · Matchday 6 ·Tuesday, August 25, 2026, 00:15

Lanus

PPG 1.45 · HOME

LAST 5

LWLDL

1 – 1

FULL TIME

Argentinos JRS

PPG 1.40 · AWAY

LAST 5

WWLDW

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-013.0%0-112.3%0-25.8%0-31.8%0-4+0.5%1 1-014.2%1-113.5%1-26.4%1-32.0%1-4+0.6%2 2-07.8%2-17.3%2-23.5%2-31.1%2-4+0.3%3 3-02.8%3-12.7%3-21.3%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-01.0%4+-10.9%4+-20.4%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 40.7% 40.0% 2.50 +1.8%

Draw 28.6% 33.8% 2.96 -9.2%

Away win 30.7% 33.3% 3.00 -7.9%

Over 2.5 44.5% 37.0% 2.70 +20.2%

Over 3.5 25.2% 18.2% 5.50 +23.2%

BTTS 49.2% 46.5% 2.15 +5.8%

Home O1.5 30.9% 33.9% 2.95 -8.8%

Away O1.5 25.7% 29.0% 3.45 -6.8%

League track record ↗

Based on 134 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 41%

O2.5 60%

BTTS 63%

Score Hit 52%

ROI -5.7%

Bet Hit 46%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 33%CONFIDENCE

✓ HIT — EXACT SCORE

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob49.2%

D 29% / xG 1.1-0.9 / U2.5 44% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 14.2%

#2 1–1✓ 13.5%

#3 0–0 13.0%

#4 0–1 12.3%

#5 2–0 7.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Lanus1.1

Argentinos JRS0.9

COMBINED 2.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 44.5% · O3.5 PROB 25.2%

Form & verdict PPG

LANUS · PPG 1.45

ARGENTINOS JRS · PPG 1.40

⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected

65%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.14, combined xG 2.04 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Lanus (H) 40.7%

ODDS 2.50 · IMPLIED 40.0% EV +1.8%

Draw 28.6%

ODDS 2.96 · IMPLIED 33.8% EV -9.2%

Argentinos JRS (A) 30.7%

ODDS 3.00 · IMPLIED 33.3% EV -7.9%

Match Preview & Prediction

Lanus face Argentinos JRS in Argentina - Liga Profesional Argentina on Tuesday, August 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Lanus a 41% chance, the draw 29% and Argentinos JRS 31%, so Lanus are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Lanus and 0.9 for Argentinos JRS (2.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 45% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Lanus are averaging 1.45 points per game versus 1.40 for Argentinos JRS. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +23.2%. This match finished 1-1.

Lanus vs Argentinos JRS Prediction— Argentina - Liga Profesional Argentina

Match Preview & Prediction

More Argentina - Liga Profesional Argentina Predictions