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Internacional Palmira W vs Atlético Nacional W Prediction— Colombia - Liga Femenina

Promotion Group · Matchday 1 ·Monday, August 24, 2026, 21:30

Internacional Palmira W logo
Internacional Palmira W
PPG 1.50 · HOME
LAST 5
WWLLD
3 – 2
FULL TIME
Atlético Nacional W logo
Atlético Nacional W
PPG 2.25 · AWAY
LAST 5
WLLWW

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-011.6%0-116.4%0-211.7%0-35.5%0-4+2.7%1 1-08.5%1-112.1%1-28.6%1-34.1%1-4+2.0%2 2-03.1%2-14.5%2-23.2%2-31.5%2-4+0.7%3 3-00.8%3-11.1%3-20.8%3-30.4%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-00.2%4+-10.2%4+-20.2%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 23.5%
Draw 26.3%
Away win 50.1%
Over 2.5 48.8%
Over 3.5 28.5%
BTTS 49.2%
Home O1.5 30.9%
Away O1.5 40.9%

League track record

Based on 40 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%
O2.5 48%
BTTS 50%
Score Hit 50%
ROI -18.0%
Bet Hit 40%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–1 16.4%
#2 1–1 12.1%
#3 0–0 11.6%
#4 0–2 11.7%
#5 1–0 8.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Internacional Palmira W0.7
Atlético Nacional W1.4

COMBINED 2.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 48.8% · O3.5 PROB 28.5%

Form & verdict PPG

INTERNACIONAL PALMIRA W · PPG 1.50

ATLÉTICO NACIONAL W · PPG 2.25

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value
Chance this pick lands
50%
DANGER

xG gap -0.68 - moderate Away edge

Win probability 1X2

Internacional Palmira W (H) 23.5%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 26.3%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Atlético Nacional W (A) 50.1%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Internacional Palmira W face Atlético Nacional W in Colombia - Liga Femenina on Monday, August 24, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Internacional Palmira W a 24% chance, the draw 26% and Atlético Nacional W 50%, so Atlético Nacional W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.7 for Internacional Palmira W and 1.4 for Atlético Nacional W (2.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-1. There is a 49% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Internacional Palmira W are averaging 1.50 points per game versus 2.25 for Atlético Nacional W. This match finished 3-2.

PredictVantage

Free daily football predictions across 240+ leagues. A Poisson-based model analyses team form, attack and defence strength, and live bookmaker odds to surface value bets — updated every day, graded every night.

18+ only. PredictVantage is for entertainment and informational purposes only. All predictions are model-generated and do not guarantee any outcome. Match dates and kick-off times come from third-party data and may change — confirm with official sources before betting. Gambling involves risk — never bet more than you can afford to lose. BeGambleAware.org