Today / Argentina - Liga Profesional Argentina / Tigre vs Central Cordoba de Santiago

Tigre vs Central Cordoba de Santiago Prediction— Argentina - Liga Profesional Argentina

Clausura · Matchday 6 ·Monday, August 24, 2026, 22:00

Tigre

PPG 1.70 · HOME

LAST 5

DWDWD

2 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME

Central Cordoba de Santiago

PPG 0.60 · AWAY

LAST 5

WWLLD

// Model verdict

Home

Model probability 53.3% vs bookmaker-implied 63.7%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-014.6%0-16.8%0-21.6%0-30.2%0-4+0.0%1 1-021.3%1-110.0%1-22.3%1-30.4%1-4+0.0%2 2-015.5%2-17.2%2-21.7%2-30.3%2-4+0.0%3 3-07.5%3-13.5%3-20.8%3-30.1%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-03.8%4+-11.8%4+-20.4%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 53.3% 63.7% 1.57 -16.3%

Draw 27.5% 29.4% 3.40 -3.9%

Away win 19.2% 15.4% 6.50 +14.9%

Over 2.5 37.7% 40.0% 2.50 -5.8%

Over 3.5 18.0% 20.0% 5.00 -6.0%

BTTS 42.6% 42.0% 2.38 +1.4%

Home O1.5 40.1% 50.0% 2.00 -19.8%

Away O1.5 15.1% 12.5% 8.00 +12.5%

League track record ↗

Based on 134 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 41%

O2.5 60%

BTTS 63%

Score Hit 52%

ROI -5.7%

Bet Hit 46%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 49%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-1

xG (home)1.5 xG (away)0.5 BTTS prob42.6%

H 53% / xG 1.5-0.5 / U2.5 38% / NoBTTS 43%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 21.3%

#2 0–0 14.6%

#3 2–0 15.5%

#4 1–1 10.0%

#5 0–1 6.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Tigre1.5

Central Cordoba de Santiago0.5

COMBINED 1.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 37.7% · O3.5 PROB 18.0%

Form & verdict PPG

TIGRE · PPG 1.70

CENTRAL CORDOBA DE SANTIAGO · PPG 0.60

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

75%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.99 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Tigre (H) 53.3%

ODDS 1.57 · IMPLIED 63.7% EV -16.3%

Draw 27.5%

ODDS 3.40 · IMPLIED 29.4% EV -3.9%

Central Cordoba de Santiago (A) 19.2%

ODDS 6.50 · IMPLIED 15.4% EV +14.9%

Match Preview & Prediction

Tigre face Central Cordoba de Santiago in Argentina - Liga Profesional Argentina on Monday, August 24, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Tigre a 53% chance, the draw 28% and Central Cordoba de Santiago 19%, so Tigre are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Tigre and 0.5 for Central Cordoba de Santiago (1.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 38% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 43% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Tigre are averaging 1.70 points per game versus 0.60 for Central Cordoba de Santiago. The best value bet our model finds is A/O25, with an expected value of +13.0%. This match finished 2-1.

Tigre vs Central Cordoba de Santiago Prediction— Argentina - Liga Profesional Argentina

Match Preview & Prediction

More Argentina - Liga Profesional Argentina Predictions