Cardiff City vs Port Vale Prediction— England - League One

Match Preview & Prediction

Cardiff City face Port Vale in England - League One on Wednesday, April 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Cardiff City a 82% chance, the draw 13% and Port Vale 6%, so Cardiff City are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.6 for Cardiff City and 0.5 for Port Vale (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 39% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Cardiff City are averaging 2.24 points per game versus 0.90 for Port Vale. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +4.3%. This match finished 1-0.