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Zrinjski Mostar vs Borac Banja L. Prediction— Bosnia - Premijer Liga

Regular Season - 30 ·Wednesday, April 22, 2026, 18:30

Zrinjski Mostar

PPG 2.00 · HOME

1 – 1

FULL TIME

Borac Banja L.

PPG 2.07 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-013.4%0-112.8%0-26.1%0-31.9%0-4+0.6%1 1-014.1%1-113.5%1-26.5%1-32.1%1-4+0.6%2 2-07.5%2-17.1%2-23.4%2-31.1%2-4+0.3%3 3-02.6%3-12.5%3-21.2%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.9%4+-10.8%4+-20.4%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 37.3% 40.0% 2.50 -6.8%

Draw 30.7% 35.7% 2.80 -14.0%

Away win 32.0% 35.7% 2.80 -10.4%

Over 2.5 32.7% — — —

Over 3.5 14.5% — — —

BTTS 40.2% 47.6% 2.10 -15.6%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 28 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 57%

O2.5 68%

BTTS 61%

Score Hit 57%

ROI -11.0%

Bet Hit 56%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 56%CONFIDENCE

✓ HIT — EXACT SCORE

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob40.2%

D 31% / xG 1.1-1.0 / U2.5 33% / NoBTTS 40%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 14.1%

#2 1–1✓ 13.5%

#3 0–0 13.4%

#4 0–1 12.8%

#5 2–0 7.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Zrinjski Mostar1.1

Borac Banja L.1.0

COMBINED 2.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 32.7% · O3.5 PROB 14.5%

Form & verdict PPG

ZRINJSKI MOSTAR · PPG 2.00

BORAC BANJA L. · PPG 2.07

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home EXCELLENT (2.00), Away EXCELLENT (2.07)

Win probability 1X2

Zrinjski Mostar (H) 37.3%

ODDS 2.50 · IMPLIED 40.0% EV -6.8%

Draw 30.7%

ODDS 2.80 · IMPLIED 35.7% EV -14.0%

Borac Banja L. (A) 32.0%

ODDS 2.80 · IMPLIED 35.7% EV -10.4%

Match Preview & Prediction

Zrinjski Mostar face Borac Banja L. in Bosnia - Premijer Liga on Wednesday, April 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Zrinjski Mostar a 37% chance, the draw 31% and Borac Banja L. 32%, so Zrinjski Mostar are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Zrinjski Mostar and 1.0 for Borac Banja L. (2.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 33% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 40% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Zrinjski Mostar are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 2.07 for Borac Banja L.. This match finished 1-1.

Zrinjski Mostar vs Borac Banja L. Prediction— Bosnia - Premijer Liga

Match Preview & Prediction

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