Today / Albania - Superliga / Dinamo Tirana vs Vora

Dinamo Tirana vs Vora Prediction— Albania - Superliga

Matchday 1 ·Sunday, August 23, 2026, 19:00

Dinamo Tirana logo
Dinamo Tirana
PPG 1.54 · HOME
LAST 5
LW ···
0 – 1
FULL TIME
Vora logo
Vora
PPG 1.14 · AWAY
LAST 5
WL ···

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-010.9%0-19.0%0-23.7%0-31.0%0-4+0.3%1 1-015.1%1-112.5%1-25.2%1-31.4%1-4+0.4%2 2-010.5%2-18.7%2-23.6%2-31.0%2-4+0.2%3 3-04.9%3-14.0%3-21.7%3-30.5%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-02.3%4+-11.9%4+-20.8%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 49.4%
Draw 26.7%
Away win 23.9%
Over 2.5 44.8%
Over 3.5 26.4%
BTTS 49.1%
Home O1.5 38.9%
Away O1.5 22.5%

League track record

Based on 31 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 36%
O2.5 45%
BTTS 48%
Score Hit 39%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 15.1%
#2 1–1 12.5%
#3 0–0 10.9%
#4 2–0 10.5%
#5 2–1 8.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Dinamo Tirana1.4
Vora0.8

COMBINED 2.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 44.8% · O3.5 PROB 26.4%

Form & verdict PPG

DINAMO TIRANA · PPG 1.54

VORA · PPG 1.14

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52%
MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.56 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Dinamo Tirana (H) 49.4%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 26.7%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Vora (A) 23.9%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Dinamo Tirana face Vora in Albania - Superliga on Sunday, August 23, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Dinamo Tirana a 49% chance, the draw 27% and Vora 24%, so Dinamo Tirana are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Dinamo Tirana and 0.8 for Vora (2.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 45% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Dinamo Tirana are averaging 1.54 points per game versus 1.14 for Vora. This match finished 0-1.

PredictVantage

Free daily football predictions across 240+ leagues. A Poisson-based model analyses team form, attack and defence strength, and live bookmaker odds to surface value bets — updated every day, graded every night.

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