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Travnik vs Vitez Prediction— Bosnia - 1st League - FBiH

FBiH · Matchday 2 ·Sunday, August 23, 2026, 15:00

Travnik

PPG 1.73 · HOME

LAST 5

WW ···

2 – 0

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME

Vitez

PPG 0.93 · AWAY

LAST 5

DD ···

// Model verdict

Home

xG gap +1.10 - moderate Home edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-09.2%0-15.9%0-21.9%0-30.4%0-4+0.1%1 1-016.0%1-110.3%1-23.3%1-30.7%1-4+0.1%2 2-014.0%2-19.0%2-22.9%2-30.6%2-4+0.1%3 3-08.1%3-15.2%3-21.7%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-05.2%4+-13.4%4+-21.1%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 54.5% — — —

Draw 29.0% — — —

Away win 16.5% — — —

Over 2.5 44.8% — — —

Over 3.5 26.6% — — —

BTTS 43.6% — — —

Home O1.5 48.8% — — —

Away O1.5 17.5% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 58 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 47%

O2.5 40%

BTTS 41%

Score Hit 33%

ROI -72.0%

Bet Hit 20%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.3%

#2 1–0 16.0%

#3 2–0✓ 14.0%

#4 0–0 9.2%

#5 2–1 9.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Travnik1.7

Vitez0.6

COMBINED 2.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 44.8% · O3.5 PROB 26.6%

Form & verdict PPG

TRAVNIK · PPG 1.73

VITEZ · PPG 0.93

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +1.10 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Travnik (H) 54.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 29.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Vitez (A) 16.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Travnik face Vitez in Bosnia - 1st League - FBiH on Sunday, August 23, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Travnik a 55% chance, the draw 29% and Vitez 17%, so Travnik are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Travnik and 0.6 for Vitez (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 45% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 44% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Travnik are averaging 1.73 points per game versus 0.93 for Vitez. This match finished 2-0.

Travnik vs Vitez Prediction— Bosnia - 1st League - FBiH

Match Preview & Prediction

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