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Sloboda Tuzla vs Tomislav Prediction— Bosnia - 1st League - FBiH

FBiH · Matchday 2 ·Sunday, August 23, 2026, 15:00

Sloboda Tuzla

PPG 1.82 · HOME

LAST 5

DL ···

3 – 0

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME

Tomislav

PPG 0.88 · AWAY

LAST 5

LL ···

// Model verdict

Home

xG gap +1.22 - moderate Home edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.1%0-14.8%0-21.9%0-30.5%0-4+0.1%1 1-012.3%1-19.7%1-23.8%1-31.0%1-4+0.2%2 2-012.4%2-19.7%2-23.8%2-31.0%2-4+0.2%3 3-08.3%3-16.5%3-22.5%3-30.7%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-06.6%4+-15.2%4+-22.0%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 58.2% — — —

Draw 25.3% — — —

Away win 16.5% — — —

Over 2.5 50.2% — — —

Over 3.5 30.9% — — —

BTTS 47.6% — — —

Home O1.5 55.7% — — —

Away O1.5 20.3% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 58 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 47%

O2.5 40%

BTTS 41%

Score Hit 33%

ROI -72.0%

Bet Hit 20%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.7%

#2 2–0 12.4%

#3 1–0 12.3%

#4 2–1 9.7%

#5 0–0 6.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Sloboda Tuzla2.0

Tomislav0.8

COMBINED 2.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.2% · O3.5 PROB 30.9%

Form & verdict PPG

SLOBODA TUZLA · PPG 1.82

TOMISLAV · PPG 0.88

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +1.22 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Sloboda Tuzla (H) 58.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 25.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Tomislav (A) 16.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Sloboda Tuzla face Tomislav in Bosnia - 1st League - FBiH on Sunday, August 23, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Sloboda Tuzla a 58% chance, the draw 25% and Tomislav 17%, so Sloboda Tuzla are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.0 for Sloboda Tuzla and 0.8 for Tomislav (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Sloboda Tuzla are averaging 1.82 points per game versus 0.88 for Tomislav. This match finished 3-0.

Sloboda Tuzla vs Tomislav Prediction— Bosnia - 1st League - FBiH

Match Preview & Prediction

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