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France - Ligue 1 logo France flag France - Ligue 1 Regular Season - 26 Parc des Princes· Paris Wednesday, April 22, 2026 17:00
Paris SG logo Paris SG PPG 2.43
3-0 HIT MostLikelyScore
Nantes logo Nantes PPG 0.79
Home· +4.7% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
66% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 89.5%
Odds: 1.17 EV: +4.7%
Draw 7.7%
Odds: 7.00 EV: -46.1%
Away 2.8%
Odds: 13.00 EV: -63.6%
Model lean: Home
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 72.6% Odds: 1.30 -5.6%
Over 3.5 52.0% Odds: 1.83 -4.8%
BTTS 36.8% Odds: 1.80 -33.8%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 3-0
2nd 2-0
3rd 4-0
4th 1-0
5th 5-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Paris SG
3.29
Nantes
0.48

Model Suggestion

Home +4.7% ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market: Home.

League Track Record

Based on 42 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 41%
O2.5/Under 62%
BTTS/No 55%
Score Hit 36%
ROI -18.0%
Bet Hit 50% (16 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
66%
STRONG_HOME

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.43), Away POOR (0.79) - Strong consensus

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